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Presidential Election Winner 2024

Market icon

Presidential Election Winner 2024

$3,686,335,059 交易量

Polymarket

$3,686,335,059 交易量

Market icon

Donald Trump

$1,531,479,285 交易量

Yes

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Joe Biden

$72,176,112 交易量

No

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Nikki Haley

$107,529,158 交易量

No

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Gavin Newsom

$54,161,276 交易量

No

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$141,605,111 交易量

No

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Ron DeSantis

$46,309,049 交易量

No

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$21,181,731 交易量

No

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Kamala Harris

$1,037,039,118 交易量

No

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Chris Christie

$14,192,736 交易量

No

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Elizabeth Warren

$14,714,814 交易量

No

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Bernie Sanders

$9,829,356 交易量

No

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AOC

$22,011,561 交易量

No

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Other Democrat Politician

$116,558,196 交易量

No

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Other Republican Politician

$241,655,100 交易量

No

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Kanye

$9,203,012 交易量

No

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Michelle Obama

$153,382,276 交易量

No

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Hillary Clinton

$93,307,168 交易量

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
交易量
$3,686,335,059
结束日期
Nov 5, 2024
市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2024, 6:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2025) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Presidential Election Winner 2024"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 17 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Donald Trump",概率为 100%,其次是"Joe Biden",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Presidential Election Winner 2024"已产生 $3.7 billion 的总交易量(自Jan 4, 2024市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Presidential Election Winner 2024"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 17 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Presidential Election Winner 2024"的当前领先者是"Donald Trump",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Joe Biden",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Presidential Election Winner 2024"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。