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政治·全球选举

葡萄牙总统选举

Market icon
政治·全球选举

葡萄牙总统选举

安东尼奥·若泽·塞格鲁 (IND) 100.0%

分组项标题：若昂·科特里姆·菲格雷多（IL） <1%

Rui Moreira (IND) <1%

Paulo Portas (CDS) <1%

Polymarket

$136,469,386 交易量

安东尼奥·若泽·塞格鲁 (IND) 100.0%

分组项标题：若昂·科特里姆·菲格雷多（IL） <1%

Rui Moreira (IND) <1%

Paulo Portas (CDS) <1%

Polymarket

$136,469,386 交易量

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分组项标题：若昂·科特里姆·菲格雷多（IL）

$4,243,461 交易量

否

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Rui Moreira (IND)

$4,047,912 交易量

否

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Paulo Portas (CDS)

$3,839,857 交易量

否

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卡塔琳娜·马丁斯（BE）

$3,267,956 交易量

否

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$360,281 交易量

否

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$6,003,994 交易量

否

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安德烈·佩斯塔纳（IND）

$1,875,020 交易量

否

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安德烈·文特拉（CH）

$19,399,481 交易量

否

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奥兰多·克鲁斯（IND）

$814,463 交易量

否

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分组项标题：阿里斯蒂德斯·特谢拉（IND）

$9,129,551 交易量

否

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分组项标题：Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,477,295 交易量

否

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Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$4,148,458 交易量

否

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$8,706,168 交易量

否

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$2,954,276 交易量

否

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安东尼奥·若泽·塞格鲁 (IND)

$7,867,806 交易量

是

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分组项标题：维托里诺·席尔瓦 (IND)

$4,143,491 交易量

否

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$7,078,441 交易量

否

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安东尼奥·菲利佩（PCP）

$7,184,027 交易量

否

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拉乌尔·佩雷斯特雷洛（IND）

$18,905,389 交易量

否

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何塞·卡多索（PLS）

$8,448,383 交易量

否

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佩德罗·帕索斯·科埃洛（PSD）

$4,120,614 交易量

否

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Jorge Pinto

$6,453,061 交易量

否

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
交易量
$136,469,386
结束日期
Feb 8, 2026
市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"葡萄牙总统选举"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 22 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"安东尼奥·若泽·塞格鲁 (IND)"，概率为 100%，其次是"分组项标题：若昂·科特里姆·菲格雷多（IL）"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"葡萄牙总统选举"已产生 $136.5 million 的总交易量（自Aug 29, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"葡萄牙总统选举"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 22 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"葡萄牙总统选举"的当前领先者是"安东尼奥·若泽·塞格鲁 (IND)"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"分组项标题：若昂·科特里姆·菲格雷多（IL）"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"葡萄牙总统选举"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。