Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices Venstre securing 15-19 seats in Denmark's next parliamentary election, driven by consistent national polls averaging 10-12% support for the Liberal Party across firms like Voxmeter, Megafon, and Verian, projecting 17-20 seats under the proportional system for the 179-seat Folketing. Recent stability stems from no major catalysts—such as leadership shifts or policy pivots—altering its mid-tier position behind Social Democrats and Moderates, with the election timeline fixed to mid-2026 barring a snap call. Realistic challenges include a sudden coalition fracture boosting smaller parties' vote share or voter turnout favoring center-right blocs, though polls show minimal volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于15-19 100.0%
<15 <1%
20-24 <1%
25-29 <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
<15
No
15-19
Yes
20-24
No
25-29
No
30+
No
15-19 100.0%
<15 <1%
20-24 <1%
25-29 <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
<15
No
15-19
Yes
20-24
No
25-29
No
30+
No
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party in the Danish Folketing (unicameral national legislature) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition it may be part of.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Danish government sources such as the Ministry of Interior and Health (https://www.valg.im.dk/) and Statistics Denmark (https://www.dst.dk/en).
市场开放时间: Mar 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party in the Danish Folketing (unicameral national legislature) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition it may be part of.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Danish government sources such as the Ministry of Interior and Health (https://www.valg.im.dk/) and Statistics Denmark (https://www.dst.dk/en).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices Venstre securing 15-19 seats in Denmark's next parliamentary election, driven by consistent national polls averaging 10-12% support for the Liberal Party across firms like Voxmeter, Megafon, and Verian, projecting 17-20 seats under the proportional system for the 179-seat Folketing. Recent stability stems from no major catalysts—such as leadership shifts or policy pivots—altering its mid-tier position behind Social Democrats and Moderates, with the election timeline fixed to mid-2026 barring a snap call. Realistic challenges include a sudden coalition fracture boosting smaller parties' vote share or voter turnout favoring center-right blocs, though polls show minimal volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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