Market icon
政治·赤字

2025年将削减的联邦职位数量？

Market icon
政治·赤字

2025年将削减的联邦职位数量？

20万+ 100.0%

<5万 <1%

分组项标题：5万至10万 <1%

10万到15万 <1%

Polymarket

$757,202 交易量

20万+ 100.0%

<5万 <1%

分组项标题：5万至10万 <1%

10万到15万 <1%

Polymarket

$757,202 交易量

<5万

$314,812 交易量

否

分组项标题：5万至10万

$49,162 交易量

否

10万到15万

$50,232 交易量

否

15万至20万

$162,417 交易量

否

20万+

$180,579 交易量

是

This market will resolve based on the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) under the "All Employees, Federal" series (CES9091000001), displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001) This market will resolve according to the decrease in the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees between the December 2024 report and the December 2025 report. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The difference will be calculated as the December 2024 value minus the December 2025 value. The December 2024 figure will be based on the initial December 2024 BLS Employment Situation report scheduled for release on January 3, 2025, and the initial December 2025 figure will be based on the report scheduled for release on January 9, 2026. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The resolution source will be the BLS Employment Situation data, specifically the series CES9091000001, available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001 or the official BLS website.

This market will resolve based on the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) under the "All Employees, Federal" series (CES9091000001), displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001) This market will resolve according to the decrease in the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees between the December 2024 report and the December 2025 report. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The difference will be calculated as the December 2024 value minus the December 2025 value. The December 2024 figure will be based on the initial December 2024 BLS Employment Situation report scheduled for release on January 3, 2025, and the initial December 2025 figure will be based on the report scheduled for release on January 9, 2026. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The resolution source will be the BLS Employment Situation data, specifically the series CES9091000001, available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001 or the official BLS website.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2025年将削减的联邦职位数量？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"20万+"，概率为 100%，其次是"<5万"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"2025年将削减的联邦职位数量？"已产生 $757.2K 的总交易量（自Feb 5, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2025年将削减的联邦职位数量？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2025年将削减的联邦职位数量？"的当前领先者是"20万+"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"<5万"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2025年将削减的联邦职位数量？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。