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Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 Under 5% by December 5?

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Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 Under 5% by December 5?

97% chance
Polymarket

$5,984 交易量

97% chance
Polymarket

$5,984 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025) is priced under the listed value for any two-hour period ending by December 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-under-5-by-december-5 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
交易量
$5,984
结束日期
Dec 5, 2025
市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 1:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025) is priced under the listed value for any two-hour period ending by December 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-under-5-by-december-5 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025) is priced under the listed value for any two-hour period ending by December 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-under-5-by-december-5 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
交易量
$5,984
结束日期
Dec 5, 2025
市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 1:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025) is priced under the listed value for any two-hour period ending by December 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-under-5-by-december-5 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 Under 5% by December 5?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 100%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 100¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 Under 5% by December 5?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Dec 2, 2025上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 Under 5% by December 5?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 Under 5% by December 5?"的当前概率为 100%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 100%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 Under 5% by December 5?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。