Brad Lander's commanding trader consensus at 75.5% in the NY-10 Democratic primary stems from a September 2025 poll showing him leading incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman by 19 points among likely voters, bolstered by his recent March 23 campaign launch following a Supreme Court ruling that finalized redistricting on March 3 and set the matchup. Lander, former NYC Comptroller, has gained progressive endorsements like Our Revolution while pressing Goldman to sign a "People's Pledge" against dark money and PAC spending, highlighting tensions over AIPAC support in this Brooklyn-Manhattan battleground. Goldman's 20% reflects incumbency and club backing, such as Independent Neighborhood Democrats and District Council 37, amid the June 23 closed primary. Lower odds for Yuh-Line Niou, Cameron Kasky, and Alexa Avilés signal limited traction despite progressive profiles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于布拉德·兰德 76%
丹·戈德曼 20%
余麟糾 3.8%
卡梅伦·卡斯基 2.3%
NEW
NEW
Jun 23, 2026
布拉德·兰德
76%
丹·戈德曼
20%
余麟糾
4%
卡梅伦·卡斯基
2%
Alexa Avilés
2%
布拉德·兰德 76%
丹·戈德曼 20%
余麟糾 3.8%
卡梅伦·卡斯基 2.3%
NEW
NEW
Jun 23, 2026
布拉德·兰德
$1,576 交易量
76%
丹·戈德曼
$1,028 交易量
20%
余麟糾
$557 交易量
4%
卡梅伦·卡斯基
$619 交易量
2%
Alexa Avilés
$834 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Brad Lander's commanding trader consensus at 75.5% in the NY-10 Democratic primary stems from a September 2025 poll showing him leading incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman by 19 points among likely voters, bolstered by his recent March 23 campaign launch following a Supreme Court ruling that finalized redistricting on March 3 and set the matchup. Lander, former NYC Comptroller, has gained progressive endorsements like Our Revolution while pressing Goldman to sign a "People's Pledge" against dark money and PAC spending, highlighting tensions over AIPAC support in this Brooklyn-Manhattan battleground. Goldman's 20% reflects incumbency and club backing, such as Independent Neighborhood Democrats and District Council 37, amid the June 23 closed primary. Lower odds for Yuh-Line Niou, Cameron Kasky, and Alexa Avilés signal limited traction despite progressive profiles.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
交易量
$4,613结束日期
Jun 23, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Brad Lander's commanding trader consensus at 75.5% in the NY-10 Democratic primary stems from a September 2025 poll showing him leading incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman by 19 points among likely voters, bolstered by his recent March 23 campaign launch following a Supreme Court ruling that finalized redistricting on March 3 and set the matchup. Lander, former NYC Comptroller, has gained progressive endorsements like Our Revolution while pressing Goldman to sign a "People's Pledge" against dark money and PAC spending, highlighting tensions over AIPAC support in this Brooklyn-Manhattan battleground. Goldman's 20% reflects incumbency and club backing, such as Independent Neighborhood Democrats and District Council 37, amid the June 23 closed primary. Lower odds for Yuh-Line Niou, Cameron Kasky, and Alexa Avilés signal limited traction despite progressive profiles.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$4,613结束日期
Jun 23, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Brad Lander's commanding trader consensus at 75.5% in the NY-10 Democratic primary stems from a September 2025 poll showing him leading incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman by 19 points among likely voters, bolstered by his recent March 23 campaign launch following a Supreme Court ruling that finalized redistricting on March 3 and set the matchup. Lander, former NYC Comptroller, has gained progressive endorsements like Our Revolution while pressing Goldman to sign a "People's Pledge" against dark money and PAC spending, highlighting tensions over AIPAC support in this Brooklyn-Manhattan battleground. Goldman's 20% reflects incumbency and club backing, such as Independent Neighborhood Democrats and District Council 37, amid the June 23 closed primary. Lower odds for Yuh-Line Niou, Cameron Kasky, and Alexa Avilés signal limited traction despite progressive profiles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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