Market icon
世界·全球选举

瑞典下任首相

Market icon
世界·全球选举

瑞典下任首相

玛格达莱娜·安德松 59%

乌尔夫·克里斯特松 34%

吉米·奥克松 5.3%

埃巴·布什 2.0%

Polymarket

$1,533,453 交易量

玛格达莱娜·安德松 59%

乌尔夫·克里斯特松 34%

吉米·奥克松 5.3%

埃巴·布什 2.0%

Polymarket

$1,533,453 交易量

Market icon

玛格达莱娜·安德松

$40,715 交易量

59%

Market icon

乌尔夫·克里斯特松

$33,524 交易量

34%

Market icon

吉米·奥克松

$1,138,048 交易量

5%

Market icon

埃巴·布什

$260,888 交易量

2%

Market icon

阿曼达·林德

$9,730 交易量

<1%

Market icon

努希·达德戈斯塔尔

$8,000 交易量

<1%

Market icon

安娜-卡琳·哈特

$9,802 交易量

<1%

Market icon

西蒙娜·莫哈姆松

$12,939 交易量

<1%

Market icon

丹尼尔·赫尔登

$8,991 交易量

<1%

Market icon

伊丽莎白·坦德·林奎斯特

$10,816 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister, reflecting recent polling averages where her Social Democrats lead at 31-33% ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election under proportional representation. Ulf Kristersson trails at 33.5% as his Moderate-led Tidö bloc (M, KD, L with SD support) polls around 45%, hampered by public backlash over migration policies despite a March 13 pact between Liberals and Sweden Democrats to bolster the right. Jimmie Åkesson (5.4%) and Ebba Busch (2.1%) lag as their parties lack bloc leadership for PM nomination. Post-election coalition negotiations and parliamentary confidence vote will decide the outcome, with left bloc currently ahead per Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus surveys from March.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister, reflecting recent polling averages where her Social Democrats lead at 31-33% ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election under proportional representation. Ulf Kristersson trails at 33.5% as his Moderate-led Tidö bloc (M, KD, L with SD support) polls around 45%, hampered by public backlash over migration policies despite a March 13 pact between Liberals and Sweden Democrats to bolster the right. Jimmie Åkesson (5.4%) and Ebba Busch (2.1%) lag as their parties lack bloc leadership for PM nomination. Post-election coalition negotiations and parliamentary confidence vote will decide the outcome, with left bloc currently ahead per Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus surveys from March.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister, reflecting recent polling averages where her Social Democrats lead at 31-33% ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election under proportional representation. Ulf Kristersson trails at 33.5% as his Moderate-led Tidö bloc (M, KD, L with SD support) polls around 45%, hampered by public backlash over migration policies despite a March 13 pact between Liberals and Sweden Democrats to bolster the right. Jimmie Åkesson (5.4%) and Ebba Busch (2.1%) lag as their parties lack bloc leadership for PM nomination. Post-election coalition negotiations and parliamentary confidence vote will decide the outcome, with left bloc currently ahead per Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus surveys from March.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% implied probability to become Sweden's next prime minister, reflecting recent polling averages where her Social Democrats lead at 31-33% ahead of the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election under proportional representation. Ulf Kristersson trails at 33.5% as his Moderate-led Tidö bloc (M, KD, L with SD support) polls around 45%, hampered by public backlash over migration policies despite a March 13 pact between Liberals and Sweden Democrats to bolster the right. Jimmie Åkesson (5.4%) and Ebba Busch (2.1%) lag as their parties lack bloc leadership for PM nomination. Post-election coalition negotiations and parliamentary confidence vote will decide the outcome, with left bloc currently ahead per Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus surveys from March.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"瑞典下任首相"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"玛格达莱娜·安德松"，概率为 59%，其次是"乌尔夫·克里斯特松"，概率为 34%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 59¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 59%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"瑞典下任首相"已产生 $1.5 million 的总交易量（自Jan 19, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"瑞典下任首相"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"瑞典下任首相"的当前领先者是"玛格达莱娜·安德松"，概率为 59%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 59%。紧随其后的结果是"乌尔夫·克里斯特松"，概率为 34%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"瑞典下任首相"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。