Mette Frederiksen holds a commanding 91.5% implied probability as next Prime Minister of Denmark, reflecting her entrenched incumbency leading the Social Democrats in a stable minority government sustained by supply agreements with opposition parties in the Folketing. No major developments in the past 30 days—such as no-confidence motions, snap election calls, or coalition breakdowns—have disrupted this equilibrium, following her strong November 2022 election victory and consistent polling leads. Lars Løkke Rasmussen trails at 5.5% amid limited momentum for the Moderates. While entrenched, odds could shift via unforeseen triggers like a political scandal, health crisis, diplomatic fallout, or procedural challenges prompting early elections before 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于梅特·弗雷泽里克森 92%
拉斯·卢克·拉斯穆森 5.5%
特罗尔斯·伦·波尔森 2.0%
莫娜·尤尔 <1%
$3,583,981 交易量
$3,583,981 交易量
梅特·弗雷泽里克森
92%
拉斯·卢克·拉斯穆森
6%
特罗尔斯·伦·波尔森
2%
莫娜·尤尔
<1%
亚历克斯·范欧普斯拉格
<1%
莫滕·梅瑟施密特
<1%
拉斯·博耶·马蒂森
<1%
英厄·斯托伊贝格
<1%
马丁·利德高
<1%
皮娅·奥尔森·迪尔
<1%
佩莱·德拉格斯特
<1%
梅特·弗雷泽里克森 92%
拉斯·卢克·拉斯穆森 5.5%
特罗尔斯·伦·波尔森 2.0%
莫娜·尤尔 <1%
$3,583,981 交易量
$3,583,981 交易量
梅特·弗雷泽里克森
92%
拉斯·卢克·拉斯穆森
6%
特罗尔斯·伦·波尔森
2%
莫娜·尤尔
<1%
亚历克斯·范欧普斯拉格
<1%
莫滕·梅瑟施密特
<1%
拉斯·博耶·马蒂森
<1%
英厄·斯托伊贝格
<1%
马丁·利德高
<1%
皮娅·奥尔森·迪尔
<1%
佩莱·德拉格斯特
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 26, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mette Frederiksen holds a commanding 91.5% implied probability as next Prime Minister of Denmark, reflecting her entrenched incumbency leading the Social Democrats in a stable minority government sustained by supply agreements with opposition parties in the Folketing. No major developments in the past 30 days—such as no-confidence motions, snap election calls, or coalition breakdowns—have disrupted this equilibrium, following her strong November 2022 election victory and consistent polling leads. Lars Løkke Rasmussen trails at 5.5% amid limited momentum for the Moderates. While entrenched, odds could shift via unforeseen triggers like a political scandal, health crisis, diplomatic fallout, or procedural challenges prompting early elections before 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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