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政治·主要

新罕布什尔州州长民主党初选获胜者

Market icon
政治·主要

新罕布什尔州州长民主党初选获胜者

辛迪·沃明顿 81%

约翰·基珀 11%

汤姆·谢尔曼 3.9%

迪格兰·麦克伊切恩 2.4%

Polymarket

$10,109 交易量

辛迪·沃明顿 81%

约翰·基珀 11%

汤姆·谢尔曼 3.9%

迪格兰·麦克伊切恩 2.4%

Polymarket

$10,109 交易量

辛迪·沃明顿

$7,906 交易量

81%

约翰·基珀

$0 交易量

11%

汤姆·谢尔曼

$1,611 交易量

4%

迪格兰·麦克伊切恩

$0 交易量

2%

多诺万·芬顿

$591 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Cinde Warmington at 80.5% implied probability to win the New Hampshire Democratic gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by a March 16-19 Saint Anselm College poll showing her leading with 40% support against Jon Kiper's 13% among registered voters, amid low name recognition for others. Warmington's February 18 campaign launch as the first major entrant, coupled with over 100 early endorsements from Democratic leaders including former U.S. Representatives Carol Shea-Porter and Annie Kuster, has consolidated her frontrunner status following her 2024 primary bid. Kiper holds second at 10.5% on his early visibility and general election polling against incumbent Governor Kelly Ayotte, while Tom Sherman's 3.9%, Deaglan McEachern's 2.4%, and Donovan Fenton's 0.4% reflect fragmented challengers ahead of June filing deadlines.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$10,109
结束日期
Sep 8, 2026
市场开放时间
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Cinde Warmington at 80.5% implied probability to win the New Hampshire Democratic gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by a March 16-19 Saint Anselm College poll showing her leading with 40% support against Jon Kiper's 13% among registered voters, amid low name recognition for others. Warmington's February 18 campaign launch as the first major entrant, coupled with over 100 early endorsements from Democratic leaders including former U.S. Representatives Carol Shea-Porter and Annie Kuster, has consolidated her frontrunner status following her 2024 primary bid. Kiper holds second at 10.5% on his early visibility and general election polling against incumbent Governor Kelly Ayotte, while Tom Sherman's 3.9%, Deaglan McEachern's 2.4%, and Donovan Fenton's 0.4% reflect fragmented challengers ahead of June filing deadlines.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$10,109
结束日期
Sep 8, 2026
市场开放时间
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"新罕布什尔州州长民主党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"辛迪·沃明顿"，概率为 81%，其次是"约翰·基珀"，概率为 11%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 81¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 81%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"新罕布什尔州州长民主党初选获胜者"已产生 $10.1K 的总交易量（自Dec 4, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"新罕布什尔州州长民主党初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"新罕布什尔州州长民主党初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"辛迪·沃明顿"，概率为 81%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 81%。紧随其后的结果是"约翰·基珀"，概率为 11%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"新罕布什尔州州长民主党初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。