Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Brian Shortsleeve at 47.5% to win the Massachusetts Republican gubernatorial primary, narrowly ahead of Michael Minogue's 41% and Mike Kennealy's 16.5%, reflecting tight recent polling from Suffolk University and WBUR showing single-digit leads amid 25-30% undecideds. The race remains close due to a fragmented field appealing to conservative grassroots (Shortsleeve), suburban moderates (Minogue), and business conservatives (Kennealy), with comparable early fundraising totals topping $300,000 each per latest filings. Separation could emerge from January FEC reports, Massachusetts GOP convention endorsements, or post-election signals from national Republicans, including potential Trump alignment, as the March 2026 primary approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于布赖恩·肖特斯利夫 48%
迈克尔·米诺格 43%
迈克·肯尼利 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
布赖恩·肖特斯利夫
48%
迈克尔·米诺格
41%
迈克·肯尼利
18%
布赖恩·肖特斯利夫 48%
迈克尔·米诺格 43%
迈克·肯尼利 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
布赖恩·肖特斯利夫
$0 交易量
48%
迈克尔·米诺格
$1,768 交易量
41%
迈克·肯尼利
$0 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
交易量
$1,768结束日期
Sep 1, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$1,768结束日期
Sep 1, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Brian Shortsleeve at 47.5% to win the Massachusetts Republican gubernatorial primary, narrowly ahead of Michael Minogue's 41% and Mike Kennealy's 16.5%, reflecting tight recent polling from Suffolk University and WBUR showing single-digit leads amid 25-30% undecideds. The race remains close due to a fragmented field appealing to conservative grassroots (Shortsleeve), suburban moderates (Minogue), and business conservatives (Kennealy), with comparable early fundraising totals topping $300,000 each per latest filings. Separation could emerge from January FEC reports, Massachusetts GOP convention endorsements, or post-election signals from national Republicans, including potential Trump alignment, as the March 2026 primary approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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