Trader consensus gives Brian Shortsleeve a 44.5% implied probability of winning the Massachusetts Republican gubernatorial primary, with Michael Minogue at 37% and Mike Kinealy at 16%, driven by fragmented support in an open field seeking a viable challenger to Democrats. Recent Suffolk University polling shows Shortsleeve's narrow lead from strong grassroots fundraising, Minogue's edge via statehouse experience and donor networks, and Kinealy's regional name recognition keeping the contest tight amid low GOP turnout base rates. Dynamics hinge on undecided voters; separation could emerge from first-quarter finance reports, national GOP endorsements, or early debate performances ahead of the March 2026 primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于布赖恩·肖特斯利夫 44%
迈克尔·米诺格 37%
迈克·肯尼利 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
布赖恩·肖特斯利夫
44%
迈克尔·米诺格
37%
迈克·肯尼利
16%
布赖恩·肖特斯利夫 44%
迈克尔·米诺格 37%
迈克·肯尼利 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
布赖恩·肖特斯利夫
$0 交易量
44%
迈克尔·米诺格
$0 交易量
37%
迈克·肯尼利
$0 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Sep 1, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$0结束日期
Sep 1, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus gives Brian Shortsleeve a 44.5% implied probability of winning the Massachusetts Republican gubernatorial primary, with Michael Minogue at 37% and Mike Kinealy at 16%, driven by fragmented support in an open field seeking a viable challenger to Democrats. Recent Suffolk University polling shows Shortsleeve's narrow lead from strong grassroots fundraising, Minogue's edge via statehouse experience and donor networks, and Kinealy's regional name recognition keeping the contest tight amid low GOP turnout base rates. Dynamics hinge on undecided voters; separation could emerge from first-quarter finance reports, national GOP endorsements, or early debate performances ahead of the March 2026 primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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