Trader consensus shows near-certainty at 99.7% against Nicolás Maduro being exiled to Qatar by March 31, anchored in his unchallenged control of Venezuelan military and institutions after January 10 inauguration for a third term. Despite disputed July 2024 election results, ongoing protests, and non-recognition by over 50 nations, no credible reports indicate exile plans, Qatar diplomacy, or leadership flight. Maduro's consolidation of power, including security force loyalty, dismisses rumors as unsubstantiated. Realistic catalysts for change remain slim—potential military revolt or intensified international sanctions—but absent breakthroughs, stability sustains high confidence in no exile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$69,966 交易量
$69,966 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
是
$69,966 交易量
$69,966 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Dec 5, 2025, 3:03 PM ET
交易量
$69,966结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro is exiled to Qatar by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Maduro will be considered to be exiled to Qatar if he is expelled from, or voluntarily leaves, Venezuela to live in freedom in Qatar for an extended period.
Announcements of Maduro's exile will not qualify, he must actually move there.
Visits or trips to Qatar will not count.
Imprisonment or detention in Qatar will not count. Freedom of movement is not required for a qualifying exile, as long as Maduro is not being held as a prisoner or detainee.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$69,966结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2025, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus shows near-certainty at 99.7% against Nicolás Maduro being exiled to Qatar by March 31, anchored in his unchallenged control of Venezuelan military and institutions after January 10 inauguration for a third term. Despite disputed July 2024 election results, ongoing protests, and non-recognition by over 50 nations, no credible reports indicate exile plans, Qatar diplomacy, or leadership flight. Maduro's consolidation of power, including security force loyalty, dismisses rumors as unsubstantiated. Realistic catalysts for change remain slim—potential military revolt or intensified international sanctions—but absent breakthroughs, stability sustains high confidence in no exile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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