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拉巴斯市长选举获胜者(玻利维亚)

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拉巴斯市长选举获胜者(玻利维亚)

塞萨尔·多克韦勒 100.0%

哈维尔·伊图拉尔德 <1%

Jhonny Plata <1%

瓦尔多·阿尔巴拉辛 <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

塞萨尔·多克韦勒 100.0%

哈维尔·伊图拉尔德 <1%

Jhonny Plata <1%

瓦尔多·阿尔巴拉辛 <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 交易量

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哈维尔·伊图拉尔德

$0 交易量

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Jhonny Plata

$0 交易量

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瓦尔多·阿尔巴拉辛

$0 交易量

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塞萨尔·多克韦勒

$0 交易量

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皮埃尔·谢恩

$0 交易量

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米格尔·罗卡

$0 交易量

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奥斯卡·索格利亚诺

$0 交易量

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保罗·科卡

$0 交易量

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卡洛斯·爱德华多·帕伦克

$0 交易量

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伊万·阿里亚斯

$0 交易量

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罗德里戈·里韦拉

$0 交易量

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亚历杭德罗·雷耶斯

$0 交易量

The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Official results from Bolivia's La Paz municipal election have solidified César Dockweiler's position as the decisive winner, with traders pricing him at virtually 100% implied probability after his overwhelming margin in vote tallies reported by the Plurinational Electoral Organ. Pre-election polling consistently showed Dockweiler, backed by strong community organizing and opposition to MAS party incumbents, leading rivals like Iván Arias by double digits amid high turnout. This commanding trader consensus reflects certified counts from electoral authorities, minimizing upset risks. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a full recount or court intervention, though no major disputes have emerged from observers or opponents as of final tabulations.

The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
交易量
$0
结束日期
Mar 22, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 5:14 PM ET

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

The La Paz mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Official results from Bolivia's La Paz municipal election have solidified César Dockweiler's position as the decisive winner, with traders pricing him at virtually 100% implied probability after his overwhelming margin in vote tallies reported by the Plurinational Electoral Organ. Pre-election polling consistently showed Dockweiler, backed by strong community organizing and opposition to MAS party incumbents, leading rivals like Iván Arias by double digits amid high turnout. This commanding trader consensus reflects certified counts from electoral authorities, minimizing upset risks. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a full recount or court intervention, though no major disputes have emerged from observers or opponents as of final tabulations.

Official results from Bolivia's La Paz municipal election have solidified César Dockweiler's position as the decisive winner, with traders pricing him at virtually 100% implied probability after his overwhelming margin in vote tallies reported by the Plurinational Electoral Organ. Pre-election polling consistently showed Dockweiler, backed by strong community organizing and opposition to MAS party incumbents, leading rivals like Iván Arias by double digits amid high turnout. This commanding trader consensus reflects certified counts from electoral authorities, minimizing upset risks. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a full recount or court intervention, though no major disputes have emerged from observers or opponents as of final tabulations.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"拉巴斯市长选举获胜者(玻利维亚)"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 12 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"塞萨尔·多克韦勒",概率为 100%,其次是"哈维尔·伊图拉尔德",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"拉巴斯市长选举获胜者(玻利维亚)"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jan 6, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"拉巴斯市长选举获胜者(玻利维亚)"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 12 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"拉巴斯市长选举获胜者(玻利维亚)"的当前领先者是"塞萨尔·多克韦勒",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"哈维尔·伊图拉尔德",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"拉巴斯市长选举获胜者(玻利维亚)"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。