Official results from Bolivia's La Paz municipal election have solidified César Dockweiler's position as the decisive winner, with traders pricing him at virtually 100% implied probability after his overwhelming margin in vote tallies reported by the Plurinational Electoral Organ. Pre-election polling consistently showed Dockweiler, backed by strong community organizing and opposition to MAS party incumbents, leading rivals like Iván Arias by double digits amid high turnout. This commanding trader consensus reflects certified counts from electoral authorities, minimizing upset risks. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a full recount or court intervention, though no major disputes have emerged from observers or opponents as of final tabulations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于塞萨尔·多克韦勒 100.0%
哈维尔·伊图拉尔德 <1%
Jhonny Plata <1%
瓦尔多·阿尔巴拉辛 <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量

哈维尔·伊图拉尔德
否

Jhonny Plata
否

瓦尔多·阿尔巴拉辛
否

塞萨尔·多克韦勒
是

皮埃尔·谢恩
否

米格尔·罗卡
否

奥斯卡·索格利亚诺
否

保罗·科卡
否

卡洛斯·爱德华多·帕伦克
否

伊万·阿里亚斯
否

罗德里戈·里韦拉
否

亚历杭德罗·雷耶斯
否
塞萨尔·多克韦勒 100.0%
哈维尔·伊图拉尔德 <1%
Jhonny Plata <1%
瓦尔多·阿尔巴拉辛 <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量

哈维尔·伊图拉尔德
否

Jhonny Plata
否

瓦尔多·阿尔巴拉辛
否

塞萨尔·多克韦勒
是

皮埃尔·谢恩
否

米格尔·罗卡
否

奥斯卡·索格利亚诺
否

保罗·科卡
否

卡洛斯·爱德华多·帕伦克
否

伊万·阿里亚斯
否

罗德里戈·里韦拉
否

亚历杭德罗·雷耶斯
否
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
市场开放时间: Jan 6, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official results from Bolivia's La Paz municipal election have solidified César Dockweiler's position as the decisive winner, with traders pricing him at virtually 100% implied probability after his overwhelming margin in vote tallies reported by the Plurinational Electoral Organ. Pre-election polling consistently showed Dockweiler, backed by strong community organizing and opposition to MAS party incumbents, leading rivals like Iván Arias by double digits amid high turnout. This commanding trader consensus reflects certified counts from electoral authorities, minimizing upset risks. Realistic challenges would require substantiated fraud claims triggering a full recount or court intervention, though no major disputes have emerged from observers or opponents as of final tabulations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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