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政治·全球选举

拉巴斯州长选举获胜者（玻利维亚）

Market icon
政治·全球选举

拉巴斯州长选举获胜者（玻利维亚）

路易斯·安东尼奥·雷维利亚 60.2%

雷内·雅华西·卡拉马尼 36.4%

桑托斯·基斯佩·基斯佩 8.9%

奥古斯托·萨图尔尼诺·奥布利塔斯 4.4%

Polymarket

$11,860 交易量

路易斯·安东尼奥·雷维利亚 60.2%

雷内·雅华西·卡拉马尼 36.4%

桑托斯·基斯佩·基斯佩 8.9%

奥古斯托·萨图尔尼诺·奥布利塔斯 4.4%

Polymarket

$11,860 交易量

路易斯·安东尼奥·雷维利亚

$8,273 交易量

54%

雷内·雅华西·卡拉马尼

$0 交易量

36%

桑托斯·基斯佩·基斯佩

$0 交易量

9%

奥古斯托·萨图尔尼诺·奥布利塔斯

$1,245 交易量

4%

拉斐尔·基斯佩·弗洛雷斯

$0 交易量

3%

赫尔曼·里韦罗斯

$1,123 交易量

3%

费利克斯·帕茨

$0 交易量

1%

德梅特里奥·维尔卡

$0 交易量

1%

奥兰多·卡利萨亚

$0 交易量

<1%

理查德·安德烈斯·戈麦斯

$1,218 交易量

9%

瓜尔贝托·库西

$0 交易量

<1%

英格瓦尔·埃莱夫森·多茨奥尔

$0 交易量

9%

克莱门特·古铁雷斯

$0 交易量

<1%

Leopoldo Richar Chui

$0 交易量

<1%

菲德尔·楚拉

$0 交易量

11%

The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).In Bolivia's La Paz gubernatorial election, Luis Antonio Revilla of the center-right Patria-SOL alliance holds a 55% trader consensus on Polymarket to win the April 19 runoff, reflecting his dominant 20% first-round performance on March 22—more than double René Yahuasi Calamani's 9% for liberal Nueva Generación Patriótica—certified March 26 by the Tribunal Supremo Electoral. The highly fragmented field of 15 candidates, high null and blank votes exceeding 23%, and no outright 50% majority triggered the ballotage under subnational rules. Revilla benefits from name recognition as former La Paz mayor and alignment with President Rodrigo Paz's post-2025 rightward shift, while 32-year-old Yahuasi's surprise second-place surge sustains his 36% odds amid undecided voters and absent post-first-round polls.

In Bolivia's La Paz gubernatorial election, Luis Antonio Revilla of the center-right Patria-SOL alliance holds a 55% trader consensus on Polymarket to win the April 19 runoff, reflecting his dominant 20% first-round performance on March 22—more than double René Yahuasi Calamani's 9% for liberal Nueva Generación Patriótica—certified March 26 by the Tribunal Supremo Electoral. The highly fragmented field of 15 candidates, high null and blank votes exceeding 23%, and no outright 50% majority triggered the ballotage under subnational rules. Revilla benefits from name recognition as former La Paz mayor and alignment with President Rodrigo Paz's post-2025 rightward shift, while 32-year-old Yahuasi's surprise second-place surge sustains his 36% odds amid undecided voters and absent post-first-round polls.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).In Bolivia's La Paz gubernatorial election, Luis Antonio Revilla of the center-right Patria-SOL alliance holds a 55% trader consensus on Polymarket to win the April 19 runoff, reflecting his dominant 20% first-round performance on March 22—more than double René Yahuasi Calamani's 9% for liberal Nueva Generación Patriótica—certified March 26 by the Tribunal Supremo Electoral. The highly fragmented field of 15 candidates, high null and blank votes exceeding 23%, and no outright 50% majority triggered the ballotage under subnational rules. Revilla benefits from name recognition as former La Paz mayor and alignment with President Rodrigo Paz's post-2025 rightward shift, while 32-year-old Yahuasi's surprise second-place surge sustains his 36% odds amid undecided voters and absent post-first-round polls.

In Bolivia's La Paz gubernatorial election, Luis Antonio Revilla of the center-right Patria-SOL alliance holds a 55% trader consensus on Polymarket to win the April 19 runoff, reflecting his dominant 20% first-round performance on March 22—more than double René Yahuasi Calamani's 9% for liberal Nueva Generación Patriótica—certified March 26 by the Tribunal Supremo Electoral. The highly fragmented field of 15 candidates, high null and blank votes exceeding 23%, and no outright 50% majority triggered the ballotage under subnational rules. Revilla benefits from name recognition as former La Paz mayor and alignment with President Rodrigo Paz's post-2025 rightward shift, while 32-year-old Yahuasi's surprise second-place surge sustains his 36% odds amid undecided voters and absent post-first-round polls.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"拉巴斯州长选举获胜者（玻利维亚）"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 15 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"路易斯·安东尼奥·雷维利亚"，概率为 54%，其次是"雷内·雅华西·卡拉马尼"，概率为 36%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 54¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 54%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"拉巴斯州长选举获胜者（玻利维亚）"已产生 $11.9K 的总交易量（自Jan 20, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"拉巴斯州长选举获胜者（玻利维亚）"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 15 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"拉巴斯州长选举获胜者（玻利维亚）"的当前领先者是"路易斯·安东尼奥·雷维利亚"，概率为 54%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 54%。紧随其后的结果是"雷内·雅华西·卡拉马尼"，概率为 36%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"拉巴斯州长选举获胜者（玻利维亚）"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。