President Joseph Aoun, elected in January 2025 after a two-year parliamentary deadlock, remains firmly entrenched amid Lebanon's escalating border tensions with Israel, reflected in trader consensus pricing "No" at 78.5% for his removal by year-end. Recent developments, including his March 27 initiative for direct talks with Israel cited by PM Nawaf Salam, an irreversible March 3 ban on Hezbollah's military activities, and repeated ceasefire calls following Israeli strikes killing dozens, underscore his active leadership against Iran-backed militants while urging U.S. intervention. No-confidence motions, resignations, or snap elections have emerged in the past month, bolstering expectations of tenure stability through his six-year term despite humanitarian crises and potential ground escalations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Joseph Aoun, elected in January 2025 after a two-year parliamentary deadlock, remains firmly entrenched amid Lebanon's escalating border tensions with Israel, reflected in trader consensus pricing "No" at 78.5% for his removal by year-end. Recent developments, including his March 27 initiative for direct talks with Israel cited by PM Nawaf Salam, an irreversible March 3 ban on Hezbollah's military activities, and repeated ceasefire calls following Israeli strikes killing dozens, underscore his active leadership against Iran-backed militants while urging U.S. intervention. No-confidence motions, resignations, or snap elections have emerged in the past month, bolstering expectations of tenure stability through his six-year term despite humanitarian crises and potential ground escalations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Joseph Aoun, elected in January 2025 after a two-year parliamentary deadlock, remains firmly entrenched amid Lebanon's escalating border tensions with Israel, reflected in trader consensus pricing "No" at 78.5% for his removal by year-end. Recent developments, including his March 27 initiative for direct talks with Israel cited by PM Nawaf Salam, an irreversible March 3 ban on Hezbollah's military activities, and repeated ceasefire calls following Israeli strikes killing dozens, underscore his active leadership against Iran-backed militants while urging U.S. intervention. No-confidence motions, resignations, or snap elections have emerged in the past month, bolstering expectations of tenure stability through his six-year term despite humanitarian crises and potential ground escalations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Joseph Aoun, elected in January 2025 after a two-year parliamentary deadlock, remains firmly entrenched amid Lebanon's escalating border tensions with Israel, reflected in trader consensus pricing "No" at 78.5% for his removal by year-end. Recent developments, including his March 27 initiative for direct talks with Israel cited by PM Nawaf Salam, an irreversible March 3 ban on Hezbollah's military activities, and repeated ceasefire calls following Israeli strikes killing dozens, underscore his active leadership against Iran-backed militants while urging U.S. intervention. No-confidence motions, resignations, or snap elections have emerged in the past month, bolstering expectations of tenure stability through his six-year term despite humanitarian crises and potential ground escalations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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