**Joseph Aoun was elected Lebanon’s president in January 2025, securing 99 parliamentary votes and ending a two-year vacancy after the prior term expired in late 2022.** His standard six-year mandate runs into 2031, placing December 31, 2026, well within the early phase of his term. Recent reporting shows Aoun actively exercising presidential authority through June 2026, including public statements on sovereignty, ceasefire implementation with Israel, demands for full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, and criticism of external interference. No parliamentary moves, constitutional challenges, or major political crises aimed at his removal have surfaced in credible coverage. Traders’ strong consensus on “No” (87.5%) aligns with the absence of term-limit triggers, recall mechanisms, or destabilizing events that would shorten his tenure within the next six months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-12-31
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Joseph Aoun was elected Lebanon’s president in January 2025, securing 99 parliamentary votes and ending a two-year vacancy after the prior term expired in late 2022.** His standard six-year mandate runs into 2031, placing December 31, 2026, well within the early phase of his term. Recent reporting shows Aoun actively exercising presidential authority through June 2026, including public statements on sovereignty, ceasefire implementation with Israel, demands for full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, and criticism of external interference. No parliamentary moves, constitutional challenges, or major political crises aimed at his removal have surfaced in credible coverage. Traders’ strong consensus on “No” (87.5%) aligns with the absence of term-limit triggers, recall mechanisms, or destabilizing events that would shorten his tenure within the next six months.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
交易量
$7,990结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Joseph Aoun was elected Lebanon’s president in January 2025, securing 99 parliamentary votes and ending a two-year vacancy after the prior term expired in late 2022.** His standard six-year mandate runs into 2031, placing December 31, 2026, well within the early phase of his term. Recent reporting shows Aoun actively exercising presidential authority through June 2026, including public statements on sovereignty, ceasefire implementation with Israel, demands for full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, and criticism of external interference. No parliamentary moves, constitutional challenges, or major political crises aimed at his removal have surfaced in credible coverage. Traders’ strong consensus on “No” (87.5%) aligns with the absence of term-limit triggers, recall mechanisms, or destabilizing events that would shorten his tenure within the next six months.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$7,990结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 19, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Joseph Aoun was elected Lebanon’s president in January 2025, securing 99 parliamentary votes and ending a two-year vacancy after the prior term expired in late 2022.** His standard six-year mandate runs into 2031, placing December 31, 2026, well within the early phase of his term. Recent reporting shows Aoun actively exercising presidential authority through June 2026, including public statements on sovereignty, ceasefire implementation with Israel, demands for full Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, and criticism of external interference. No parliamentary moves, constitutional challenges, or major political crises aimed at his removal have surfaced in credible coverage. Traders’ strong consensus on “No” (87.5%) aligns with the absence of term-limit triggers, recall mechanisms, or destabilizing events that would shorten his tenure within the next six months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题