Amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions following American strikes on Tehran in early March 2026, Iranian officials have repeatedly signaled a preference for Vice President JD Vance as the lead U.S. negotiator in potential de-escalation talks, rejecting envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner due to eroded trust from prior failed diplomacy. Pakistan has offered to host indirect or direct discussions in Islamabad, with recent reports of backchannel contacts and Iranian Foreign Minister confirmation of outreach to U.S. representatives as of March 31. No confirmed Vance-Iran meeting has occurred, though Vance's prior skepticism of military intervention and Senate briefings on negotiations fuel trader focus on his potential role before the market's April 30 resolution. Upcoming ceasefire efforts and diplomatic venues could tip outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$242,155 交易量
2026-04-30
3月31日
<1%
4月10日
6%
4 月 30 日
41%
$242,155 交易量
3月31日
$159,049 交易量
<1%
4月10日
$78,884 交易量
6%
4 月 30 日
$4,223 交易量
41%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions following American strikes on Tehran in early March 2026, Iranian officials have repeatedly signaled a preference for Vice President JD Vance as the lead U.S. negotiator in potential de-escalation talks, rejecting envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner due to eroded trust from prior failed diplomacy. Pakistan has offered to host indirect or direct discussions in Islamabad, with recent reports of backchannel contacts and Iranian Foreign Minister confirmation of outreach to U.S. representatives as of March 31. No confirmed Vance-Iran meeting has occurred, though Vance's prior skepticism of military intervention and Senate briefings on negotiations fuel trader focus on his potential role before the market's April 30 resolution. Upcoming ceasefire efforts and diplomatic venues could tip outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
交易量
$242,155结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions following American strikes on Tehran in early March 2026, Iranian officials have repeatedly signaled a preference for Vice President JD Vance as the lead U.S. negotiator in potential de-escalation talks, rejecting envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner due to eroded trust from prior failed diplomacy. Pakistan has offered to host indirect or direct discussions in Islamabad, with recent reports of backchannel contacts and Iranian Foreign Minister confirmation of outreach to U.S. representatives as of March 31. No confirmed Vance-Iran meeting has occurred, though Vance's prior skepticism of military intervention and Senate briefings on negotiations fuel trader focus on his potential role before the market's April 30 resolution. Upcoming ceasefire efforts and diplomatic venues could tip outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$242,155结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions following American strikes on Tehran in early March 2026, Iranian officials have repeatedly signaled a preference for Vice President JD Vance as the lead U.S. negotiator in potential de-escalation talks, rejecting envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner due to eroded trust from prior failed diplomacy. Pakistan has offered to host indirect or direct discussions in Islamabad, with recent reports of backchannel contacts and Iranian Foreign Minister confirmation of outreach to U.S. representatives as of March 31. No confirmed Vance-Iran meeting has occurred, though Vance's prior skepticism of military intervention and Senate briefings on negotiations fuel trader focus on his potential role before the market's April 30 resolution. Upcoming ceasefire efforts and diplomatic venues could tip outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题