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特朗普是否会在3月31日前访问格陵兰岛

Market icon

特朗普是否会在3月31日前访问格陵兰岛

<1% chance
Polymarket

$217,175 交易量

<1% chance
Polymarket

$217,175 交易量

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.With the March 31, 2026, deadline now just days away, trader consensus reflects near-certainty against President Trump visiting Greenland, driven by the absence of any public presidential travel schedule, announcements, or logistical preparations for such a diplomatically sensitive trip amid strained US-Denmark relations. Trump's early 2026 push to acquire the Danish territory sparked envoy-level plans for a March visit by officials like Jeff Landry, but no presidential itinerary emerged, overshadowed by other executive actions such as his March 25 Graceland site visit. High barriers including advance planning for foreign policy travel, NATO alliance frictions, and lack of recent escalation signals sustain 99.7% odds on "No," though a surprise unannounced trip remains a remote possibility before resolution at 11:59 PM ET.

With the March 31, 2026, deadline now just days away, trader consensus reflects near-certainty against President Trump visiting Greenland, driven by the absence of any public presidential travel schedule, announcements, or logistical preparations for such a diplomatically sensitive trip amid strained US-Denmark relations. Trump's early 2026 push to acquire the Danish territory sparked envoy-level plans for a March visit by officials like Jeff Landry, but no presidential itinerary emerged, overshadowed by other executive actions such as his March 25 Graceland site visit. High barriers including advance planning for foreign policy travel, NATO alliance frictions, and lack of recent escalation signals sustain 99.7% odds on "No," though a surprise unannounced trip remains a remote possibility before resolution at 11:59 PM ET.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.With the March 31, 2026, deadline now just days away, trader consensus reflects near-certainty against President Trump visiting Greenland, driven by the absence of any public presidential travel schedule, announcements, or logistical preparations for such a diplomatically sensitive trip amid strained US-Denmark relations. Trump's early 2026 push to acquire the Danish territory sparked envoy-level plans for a March visit by officials like Jeff Landry, but no presidential itinerary emerged, overshadowed by other executive actions such as his March 25 Graceland site visit. High barriers including advance planning for foreign policy travel, NATO alliance frictions, and lack of recent escalation signals sustain 99.7% odds on "No," though a surprise unannounced trip remains a remote possibility before resolution at 11:59 PM ET.

With the March 31, 2026, deadline now just days away, trader consensus reflects near-certainty against President Trump visiting Greenland, driven by the absence of any public presidential travel schedule, announcements, or logistical preparations for such a diplomatically sensitive trip amid strained US-Denmark relations. Trump's early 2026 push to acquire the Danish territory sparked envoy-level plans for a March visit by officials like Jeff Landry, but no presidential itinerary emerged, overshadowed by other executive actions such as his March 25 Graceland site visit. High barriers including advance planning for foreign policy travel, NATO alliance frictions, and lack of recent escalation signals sustain 99.7% odds on "No," though a surprise unannounced trip remains a remote possibility before resolution at 11:59 PM ET.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"特朗普是否会在3月31日前访问格陵兰岛"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"到3月31日,特朗普会访问格陵兰吗?",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 0¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 0%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"特朗普是否会在3月31日前访问格陵兰岛"已产生 $217.2K 的总交易量(自Jan 6, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特朗普是否会在3月31日前访问格陵兰岛"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"特朗普是否会在3月31日前访问格陵兰岛"的当前领先者是"到3月31日,特朗普会访问格陵兰吗?",仅有 0%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

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