Trader consensus prices "No" at 92% for Nord Stream pipelines restarting before 2027, reflecting entrenched geopolitical barriers and physical damage from the 2022 sabotage incidents that rendered both Nord Stream 1 and 2 inoperable. Germany has firmly rejected resumption, prioritizing energy diversification through LNG terminals from the US, Norway, and Qatar, with Chancellor Scholz's administration enforcing EU sanctions on Russian gas imports amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict. No repair efforts have advanced, as Gazprom cites Western restrictions preventing access, and recent probes by Sweden and Denmark closed without identifying perpetrators or enabling fixes. While a major diplomatic thaw or sanctions relief could shift odds, current policy signals substantial hurdles to any pre-2027 restart.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
是
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$0结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 92% for Nord Stream pipelines restarting before 2027, reflecting entrenched geopolitical barriers and physical damage from the 2022 sabotage incidents that rendered both Nord Stream 1 and 2 inoperable. Germany has firmly rejected resumption, prioritizing energy diversification through LNG terminals from the US, Norway, and Qatar, with Chancellor Scholz's administration enforcing EU sanctions on Russian gas imports amid the ongoing Ukraine conflict. No repair efforts have advanced, as Gazprom cites Western restrictions preventing access, and recent probes by Sweden and Denmark closed without identifying perpetrators or enabling fixes. While a major diplomatic thaw or sanctions relief could shift odds, current policy signals substantial hurdles to any pre-2027 restart.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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