$5,053,667 交易量
Jul 16, 2025
6月27日
否
7月11日
否
分组项标题:7月31日
否
8月31日
否
分组项标题:9月30日
否
10月31日
否
分组项标题:12月31日
否
March 31, 2026
是
2026年6月30日
是
$5,053,667 交易量
6月27日
$209,119 交易量
否
7月11日
$410,444 交易量
否
分组项标题:7月31日
$157,520 交易量
否
8月31日
$334,324 交易量
否
分组项标题:9月30日
$431,464 交易量
否
10月31日
$839,695 交易量
否
分组项标题:12月31日
$1,078,690 交易量
否
March 31, 2026
$1,378,471 交易量
是
2026年6月30日
$213,942 交易量
是
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate, or Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Israeli soil or any official Israeli embassy or consulate, by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli or Iranian military forces that impact the other party’s ground territory or any official embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, or an Israeli air base is hit by an Iranian drone, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the relevant government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on the opposing party’s territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives will not qualify.
Actions taken by proxy groups (e.g. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate, or Iran initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Israeli soil or any official Israeli embassy or consulate, by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli or Iranian military forces that impact the other party’s ground territory or any official embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, or an Israeli air base is hit by an Iranian drone, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the relevant government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on the opposing party’s territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives will not qualify.
Actions taken by proxy groups (e.g. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli or Iranian military forces that impact the other party’s ground territory or any official embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, or an Israeli air base is hit by an Iranian drone, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the relevant government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on the opposing party’s territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives will not qualify.
Actions taken by proxy groups (e.g. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Jun 24, 2025, 2:48 PM ET
交易量
$5,053,667结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Jun 24, 2025, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否

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