Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson's strong hold on Illinois' 1st Congressional District, rated D+18 by Cook PVI and historically delivering Democratic margins above 65% in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 92.5% to win the November general election. Jackson advanced unopposed in the March 17 Democratic primary, facing Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, a business consultant who prevailed in a low-turnout GOP primary with 65% against Marcus Lewis. No polls indicate competitiveness in this South Side Chicago bastion, reflecting incumbency advantage and weak Republican infrastructure. Upsets would require a major Jackson scandal, extraordinary GOP fundraising surge, or national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$14,004 交易量
$14,004 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
$14,004 交易量
$14,004 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$0 交易量
93%
共和党
$14,004 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson's strong hold on Illinois' 1st Congressional District, rated D+18 by Cook PVI and historically delivering Democratic margins above 65% in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 92.5% to win the November general election. Jackson advanced unopposed in the March 17 Democratic primary, facing Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, a business consultant who prevailed in a low-turnout GOP primary with 65% against Marcus Lewis. No polls indicate competitiveness in this South Side Chicago bastion, reflecting incumbency advantage and weak Republican infrastructure. Upsets would require a major Jackson scandal, extraordinary GOP fundraising surge, or national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$14,004结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson's strong hold on Illinois' 1st Congressional District, rated D+18 by Cook PVI and historically delivering Democratic margins above 65% in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 92.5% to win the November general election. Jackson advanced unopposed in the March 17 Democratic primary, facing Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, a business consultant who prevailed in a low-turnout GOP primary with 65% against Marcus Lewis. No polls indicate competitiveness in this South Side Chicago bastion, reflecting incumbency advantage and weak Republican infrastructure. Upsets would require a major Jackson scandal, extraordinary GOP fundraising surge, or national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,004结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson's strong hold on Illinois' 1st Congressional District, rated D+18 by Cook PVI and historically delivering Democratic margins above 65% in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus pricing Democrats at 92.5% to win the November general election. Jackson advanced unopposed in the March 17 Democratic primary, facing Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, a business consultant who prevailed in a low-turnout GOP primary with 65% against Marcus Lewis. No polls indicate competitiveness in this South Side Chicago bastion, reflecting incumbency advantage and weak Republican infrastructure. Upsets would require a major Jackson scandal, extraordinary GOP fundraising surge, or national midterm wave shifting battleground turnout dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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