Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson's unopposed Democratic primary victory on March 17 propelled trader consensus to 92.5% for the Democratic Party in the IL-01 House race, reflecting the district's strong D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Jackson's consistent general election margins exceeding 30 points, including 66%-34% over Marcus Lewis in 2024. Christian Maxwell captured the Republican nomination with 65% against Lewis, but forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Safe Democratic amid limited GOP fundraising. While a massive Republican midterm wave, Jackson scandal, health issue, or depressed Democratic turnout could challenge this, structural advantages and historical precedents sustain the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$14,004 交易量
$14,004 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
$14,004 交易量
$14,004 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$0 交易量
93%
共和党
$14,004 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson's unopposed Democratic primary victory on March 17 propelled trader consensus to 92.5% for the Democratic Party in the IL-01 House race, reflecting the district's strong D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Jackson's consistent general election margins exceeding 30 points, including 66%-34% over Marcus Lewis in 2024. Christian Maxwell captured the Republican nomination with 65% against Lewis, but forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Safe Democratic amid limited GOP fundraising. While a massive Republican midterm wave, Jackson scandal, health issue, or depressed Democratic turnout could challenge this, structural advantages and historical precedents sustain the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$14,004结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson's unopposed Democratic primary victory on March 17 propelled trader consensus to 92.5% for the Democratic Party in the IL-01 House race, reflecting the district's strong D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Jackson's consistent general election margins exceeding 30 points, including 66%-34% over Marcus Lewis in 2024. Christian Maxwell captured the Republican nomination with 65% against Lewis, but forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Safe Democratic amid limited GOP fundraising. While a massive Republican midterm wave, Jackson scandal, health issue, or depressed Democratic turnout could challenge this, structural advantages and historical precedents sustain the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,004结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jonathan Jackson's unopposed Democratic primary victory on March 17 propelled trader consensus to 92.5% for the Democratic Party in the IL-01 House race, reflecting the district's strong D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Jackson's consistent general election margins exceeding 30 points, including 66%-34% over Marcus Lewis in 2024. Christian Maxwell captured the Republican nomination with 65% against Lewis, but forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Safe Democratic amid limited GOP fundraising. While a massive Republican midterm wave, Jackson scandal, health issue, or depressed Democratic turnout could challenge this, structural advantages and historical precedents sustain the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题