Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Beijing on April 1, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those aggregated on AccuWeather, which project a daytime high of 66°F (19°C) under partly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and stable anticyclonic conditions typical for early spring. Observational data from surface stations and satellite imagery confirm mild temperatures building from morning lows near 4°C, aligning with historical early April averages around 18–20°C amid low precipitation risk. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover suppressing insolation or a late cold front introducing cooler air masses, though model ensembles show high agreement with minimal spread; real-time updates from official Beijing weather stations will finalize resolution by midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 1?
19°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
22°C or higher <1%
$130,166 交易量
$130,166 交易量
2026-04-01
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
22°C or higher <1%
$130,166 交易量
$130,166 交易量
2026-04-01
19°C
$17,430 交易量
100%
20°C
$16,395 交易量
<1%
21°C
$12,036 交易量
<1%
22°C or higher
$11,015 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Beijing on April 1, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those aggregated on AccuWeather, which project a daytime high of 66°F (19°C) under partly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and stable anticyclonic conditions typical for early spring. Observational data from surface stations and satellite imagery confirm mild temperatures building from morning lows near 4°C, aligning with historical early April averages around 18–20°C amid low precipitation risk. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover suppressing insolation or a late cold front introducing cooler air masses, though model ensembles show high agreement with minimal spread; real-time updates from official Beijing weather stations will finalize resolution by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
交易量
$130,166结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Beijing on April 1, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those aggregated on AccuWeather, which project a daytime high of 66°F (19°C) under partly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and stable anticyclonic conditions typical for early spring. Observational data from surface stations and satellite imagery confirm mild temperatures building from morning lows near 4°C, aligning with historical early April averages around 18–20°C amid low precipitation risk. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover suppressing insolation or a late cold front introducing cooler air masses, though model ensembles show high agreement with minimal spread; real-time updates from official Beijing weather stations will finalize resolution by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$130,166结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.9% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Beijing on April 1, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those aggregated on AccuWeather, which project a daytime high of 66°F (19°C) under partly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and stable anticyclonic conditions typical for early spring. Observational data from surface stations and satellite imagery confirm mild temperatures building from morning lows near 4°C, aligning with historical early April averages around 18–20°C amid low precipitation risk. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover suppressing insolation or a late cold front introducing cooler air masses, though model ensembles show high agreement with minimal spread; real-time updates from official Beijing weather stations will finalize resolution by midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题