Grok 4.20 released on...?
No release by February 14 86%
February 14 2.6%
February 11 2.5%
February 5 2.3%
$43,855 交易量
$43,855 交易量
February 1
$3,788 交易量
<1%
February 1
$3,788 交易量
<1%
February 2
$2,646 交易量
1%
February 2
$2,646 交易量
1%
February 3
$1,439 交易量
1%
February 3
$1,439 交易量
1%
February 4
$1,065 交易量
2%
February 4
$1,065 交易量
2%
February 5
$1,091 交易量
2%
February 5
$1,091 交易量
2%
February 6
$915 交易量
1%
February 6
$915 交易量
1%
February 7
$1,322 交易量
2%
February 7
$1,322 交易量
2%
February 8
$1,116 交易量
2%
February 8
$1,116 交易量
2%
February 9
$908 交易量
2%
February 9
$908 交易量
2%
February 10
$990 交易量
2%
February 10
$990 交易量
2%
February 11
$1,034 交易量
3%
February 11
$1,034 交易量
3%
February 12
$1,293 交易量
1%
February 12
$1,293 交易量
1%
February 13
$1,015 交易量
2%
February 13
$1,015 交易量
2%
February 14
$1,358 交易量
3%
February 14
$1,358 交易量
3%
No release by February 14
$10,147 交易量
86%
No release by February 14
$10,147 交易量
86%
规则
This market will resolve to "Released before February 1" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "No release by February 14" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
创建于： Jan 28, 2026, 10:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Grok 4.20 released on...?
No release by February 14 86%
February 14 2.6%
February 11 2.5%
February 5 2.3%
$43,855 交易量
$43,855 交易量
February 1
<1%
February 2
1%
February 3
1%
February 4
2%
February 5
2%
February 6
1%
February 7
2%
February 8
2%
February 9
2%
February 10
2%
February 11
3%
February 12
1%
February 13
2%
February 14
3%
No release by February 14
86%
关于
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...注意外部链接。
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