Grok 4.20 released on...?
No release by February 14 85%
February 14 6.2%
February 9 2.6%
February 10 2.2%
$27,109 交易量
$27,109 交易量
Released before February 1
$3,451 交易量
1%
Released before February 1
$3,451 交易量
1%
February 1
$1,112 交易量
1%
February 1
$1,112 交易量
1%
February 2
$1,661 交易量
1%
February 2
$1,661 交易量
1%
February 3
$1,288 交易量
1%
February 3
$1,288 交易量
1%
February 4
$974 交易量
<1%
February 4
$974 交易量
<1%
February 5
$857 交易量
<1%
February 5
$857 交易量
<1%
February 6
$869 交易量
1%
February 6
$869 交易量
1%
February 7
$1,253 交易量
2%
February 7
$1,253 交易量
2%
February 8
$898 交易量
1%
February 8
$898 交易量
1%
February 9
$861 交易量
3%
February 9
$861 交易量
3%
February 10
$936 交易量
2%
February 10
$936 交易量
2%
February 11
$988 交易量
2%
February 11
$988 交易量
2%
February 12
$1,168 交易量
1%
February 12
$1,168 交易量
1%
February 13
$929 交易量
2%
February 13
$929 交易量
2%
February 14
$1,102 交易量
6%
February 14
$1,102 交易量
6%
No release by February 14
$8,761 交易量
85%
No release by February 14
$8,761 交易量
85%
规则
This market will resolve to "Released before February 1" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "No release by February 14" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by February 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
创建于： Jan 28, 2026, 10:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Grok 4.20 released on...?
No release by February 14 85%
February 14 6.2%
February 9 2.6%
February 10 2.2%
$27,109 交易量
$27,109 交易量
Released before February 1
1%
February 1
1%
February 2
1%
February 3
1%
February 4
<1%
February 5
<1%
February 6
1%
February 7
2%
February 8
1%
February 9
3%
February 10
2%
February 11
2%
February 12
1%
February 13
2%
February 14
6%
No release by February 14
85%
关于
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...注意外部链接。
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