Trader consensus on the Cochabamba gubernatorial race in Bolivia hinges on a fragmented field where Mario Severich leads narrowly at 40.4%, trailed closely by Alejandro Mostajo at 35.3%, signaling deep voter divisions amid national MAS-opposition tensions and local concerns over water management, agriculture, and infrastructure. Recent polls from late 2023 show the top contenders within 5-7 points, with undecideds at 15-20%, keeping odds tight as no candidate consolidates beyond regional strongholds. Potential separators include January endorsements from national figures like Luis Arce or Evo Morales, campaign rallies drawing crowds, or revelations on corruption probes, alongside voter turnout in rural vs. urban precincts ahead of the March vote. Markets reflect this uncertainty, pricing in volatility from Bolivia's polarized politics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于塞尔吉奥·奥利弗·罗德里格斯 21.1%
威尔弗雷多·罗兰多·莫拉莱斯 11.0%
埃丝特·索里亚·冈萨雷斯 5.7%
鲁斯·阿丽娜·佩拉尔塔 5.0%
$15,217 交易量
$15,217 交易量
Mar 22, 2026
塞尔吉奥·奥利弗·罗德里格斯
26%
威尔弗雷多·罗兰多·莫拉莱斯
16%
埃丝特·索里亚·冈萨雷斯
6%
鲁斯·阿丽娜·佩拉尔塔
5%
雷米吉奥·安卡勒
4%
Jhon Ariel Rioja
3%
胡安·罗伯特·弗洛雷斯
6%
马里奥·恩里克·塞韦里奇
40%
亚历杭德罗·莫斯塔霍·鲁埃达
34%
塞尔吉奥·奥利弗·罗德里格斯 21.1%
威尔弗雷多·罗兰多·莫拉莱斯 11.0%
埃丝特·索里亚·冈萨雷斯 5.7%
鲁斯·阿丽娜·佩拉尔塔 5.0%
$15,217 交易量
$15,217 交易量
Mar 22, 2026
塞尔吉奥·奥利弗·罗德里格斯
$5,725 交易量
26%
威尔弗雷多·罗兰多·莫拉莱斯
$1,936 交易量
16%
埃丝特·索里亚·冈萨雷斯
$2,887 交易量
6%
鲁斯·阿丽娜·佩拉尔塔
$633 交易量
5%
雷米吉奥·安卡勒
$725 交易量
4%
Jhon Ariel Rioja
$1,516 交易量
3%
胡安·罗伯特·弗洛雷斯
$415 交易量
6%
马里奥·恩里克·塞韦里奇
$819 交易量
40%
亚历杭德罗·莫斯塔霍·鲁埃达
$562 交易量
34%
The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
市场开放时间： Jan 20, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$15,217结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 20, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).The Cochabamba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
交易量
$15,217结束日期
Mar 22, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 20, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the Cochabamba gubernatorial race in Bolivia hinges on a fragmented field where Mario Severich leads narrowly at 40.4%, trailed closely by Alejandro Mostajo at 35.3%, signaling deep voter divisions amid national MAS-opposition tensions and local concerns over water management, agriculture, and infrastructure. Recent polls from late 2023 show the top contenders within 5-7 points, with undecideds at 15-20%, keeping odds tight as no candidate consolidates beyond regional strongholds. Potential separators include January endorsements from national figures like Luis Arce or Evo Morales, campaign rallies drawing crowds, or revelations on corruption probes, alongside voter turnout in rural vs. urban precincts ahead of the March vote. Markets reflect this uncertainty, pricing in volatility from Bolivia's polarized politics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题