Shin Yong-han's victory in the Democratic Party of Korea's runoff primary on April 4, defeating Noh Young-min, has solidified his position as the party's nominee for the June 3 Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, driving trader consensus to an 84% implied probability of winning. Pre-primary polls consistently showed Shin leading general matchups against rivals like incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Young-hwan and Song Ki-sub, amid PPP nomination turmoil that cut Kim from renomination, potentially forcing an independent bid. With Democratic Party support rates around 50-55% in recent surveys, traders view Shin's momentum and party backing as key advantages in this provincial race, though two months remain for shifts from scandals, endorsements, or turnout in battleground areas.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于申永汉 84%
宋基燮 8.9%
卢英敏 3.6%
金英焕 3.1%
$17,564 交易量
$17,564 交易量
申永汉
84%
宋基燮
9%
卢英敏
4%
金英焕
3%
赵吉亨
2%
都钟焕
2%
李钟培
2%
尹熙根
1%
申永汉 84%
宋基燮 8.9%
卢英敏 3.6%
金英焕 3.1%
$17,564 交易量
$17,564 交易量
申永汉
84%
宋基燮
9%
卢英敏
4%
金英焕
3%
赵吉亨
2%
都钟焕
2%
李钟培
2%
尹熙根
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
市场开放时间: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Shin Yong-han's victory in the Democratic Party of Korea's runoff primary on April 4, defeating Noh Young-min, has solidified his position as the party's nominee for the June 3 Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, driving trader consensus to an 84% implied probability of winning. Pre-primary polls consistently showed Shin leading general matchups against rivals like incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Young-hwan and Song Ki-sub, amid PPP nomination turmoil that cut Kim from renomination, potentially forcing an independent bid. With Democratic Party support rates around 50-55% in recent surveys, traders view Shin's momentum and party backing as key advantages in this provincial race, though two months remain for shifts from scandals, endorsements, or turnout in battleground areas.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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