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卡斯蒂利亚-莱昂地区选举获胜者

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卡斯蒂利亚-莱昂地区选举获胜者

人民党(PP) 94.8%

西班牙工人社会党(PSOE) 4.3%

VOX <1%

Polymarket

$190,383 交易量

人民党(PP) 94.8%

西班牙工人社会党(PSOE) 4.3%

VOX <1%

Polymarket

$190,383 交易量

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人民党(PP)

$95,208 交易量

95%

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西班牙工人社会党(PSOE)

$51,437 交易量

4%

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VOX

$43,738 交易量

<1%

Elections for the autonomous community of Castilla y Leon’s unicameral legislature (Cortes) are scheduled for March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cortes of Castilla y Leon as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
交易量
$190,383
结束日期
Mar 15, 2026
市场开放时间
Jan 20, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
Elections for the autonomous community of Castilla y Leon’s unicameral legislature (Cortes) are scheduled for March 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cortes of Castilla y Leon as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition. In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"卡斯蒂利亚-莱昂地区选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"人民党(PP)",概率为 95%,其次是"西班牙工人社会党(PSOE)",概率为 4%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 95¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 95%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"卡斯蒂利亚-莱昂地区选举获胜者"已产生 $190.4K 的总交易量(自Jan 20, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"卡斯蒂利亚-莱昂地区选举获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"卡斯蒂利亚-莱昂地区选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"人民党(PP)",概率为 95%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 95%。紧随其后的结果是"西班牙工人社会党(PSOE)",概率为 4%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"卡斯蒂利亚-莱昂地区选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。