Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray seeks re-election in California's 13th congressional district, which he captured by just 187 votes in 2024 and which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Democratic based on Gray's ability to outperform the national Democratic ticket in his Central Valley base around Merced. With the June 2 nonpartisan primary only weeks away, early ballot returns through mid-May show Democrats accounting for the largest share of votes cast so far. Republican challengers Vin Kruttiventi and Kevin Lincoln II remain in contention, yet the current trader consensus aligns with the district's modest Democratic lean and the structural advantages of incumbency heading into the general election on November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
72%
共和党
29%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$805 交易量
72%
共和党
$1,321 交易量
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray seeks re-election in California's 13th congressional district, which he captured by just 187 votes in 2024 and which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Democratic based on Gray's ability to outperform the national Democratic ticket in his Central Valley base around Merced. With the June 2 nonpartisan primary only weeks away, early ballot returns through mid-May show Democrats accounting for the largest share of votes cast so far. Republican challengers Vin Kruttiventi and Kevin Lincoln II remain in contention, yet the current trader consensus aligns with the district's modest Democratic lean and the structural advantages of incumbency heading into the general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
交易量
$2,126结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray seeks re-election in California's 13th congressional district, which he captured by just 187 votes in 2024 and which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Democratic based on Gray's ability to outperform the national Democratic ticket in his Central Valley base around Merced. With the June 2 nonpartisan primary only weeks away, early ballot returns through mid-May show Democrats accounting for the largest share of votes cast so far. Republican challengers Vin Kruttiventi and Kevin Lincoln II remain in contention, yet the current trader consensus aligns with the district's modest Democratic lean and the structural advantages of incumbency heading into the general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,126结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray seeks re-election in California's 13th congressional district, which he captured by just 187 votes in 2024 and which carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Tilt Democratic based on Gray's ability to outperform the national Democratic ticket in his Central Valley base around Merced. With the June 2 nonpartisan primary only weeks away, early ballot returns through mid-May show Democrats accounting for the largest share of votes cast so far. Republican challengers Vin Kruttiventi and Kevin Lincoln II remain in contention, yet the current trader consensus aligns with the district's modest Democratic lean and the structural advantages of incumbency heading into the general election on November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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