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选举·税费

加州选票上的亿万富翁一次性财富税？

Market icon
选举·税费

加州选票上的亿万富翁一次性财富税？

是

65% chance
Polymarket

$84,384 交易量

是

65% chance
Polymarket

$84,384 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Supporters of California's 2026 Billionaire Tax Act ballot initiative, Initiative No. 25-0024, report collecting 25% of the 874,641 valid signatures required for the November 3 ballot, fueling trader consensus at 65.5% for qualification by the June 25 deadline. Recent UC Berkeley polls show 52% likely voter support, with backing from SEIU unions and figures like Bernie Sanders offsetting legal and economic critiques. However, opposition intensifies as billionaires including Google co-founder Sergey Brin have donated over $45 million to Building a Better California, funding counter-initiatives cleared for signatures to prohibit wealth taxes and paying $15 per valid signature amid allegations of fraud in pro-tax drives. The closely contested signature race and competing measures heighten uncertainty.

Supporters of California's 2026 Billionaire Tax Act ballot initiative, Initiative No. 25-0024, report collecting 25% of the 874,641 valid signatures required for the November 3 ballot, fueling trader consensus at 65.5% for qualification by the June 25 deadline. Recent UC Berkeley polls show 52% likely voter support, with backing from SEIU unions and figures like Bernie Sanders offsetting legal and economic critiques. However, opposition intensifies as billionaires including Google co-founder Sergey Brin have donated over $45 million to Building a Better California, funding counter-initiatives cleared for signatures to prohibit wealth taxes and paying $15 per valid signature amid allegations of fraud in pro-tax drives. The closely contested signature race and competing measures heighten uncertainty.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Supporters of California's 2026 Billionaire Tax Act ballot initiative, Initiative No. 25-0024, report collecting 25% of the 874,641 valid signatures required for the November 3 ballot, fueling trader consensus at 65.5% for qualification by the June 25 deadline. Recent UC Berkeley polls show 52% likely voter support, with backing from SEIU unions and figures like Bernie Sanders offsetting legal and economic critiques. However, opposition intensifies as billionaires including Google co-founder Sergey Brin have donated over $45 million to Building a Better California, funding counter-initiatives cleared for signatures to prohibit wealth taxes and paying $15 per valid signature amid allegations of fraud in pro-tax drives. The closely contested signature race and competing measures heighten uncertainty.

Supporters of California's 2026 Billionaire Tax Act ballot initiative, Initiative No. 25-0024, report collecting 25% of the 874,641 valid signatures required for the November 3 ballot, fueling trader consensus at 65.5% for qualification by the June 25 deadline. Recent UC Berkeley polls show 52% likely voter support, with backing from SEIU unions and figures like Bernie Sanders offsetting legal and economic critiques. However, opposition intensifies as billionaires including Google co-founder Sergey Brin have donated over $45 million to Building a Better California, funding counter-initiatives cleared for signatures to prohibit wealth taxes and paying $15 per valid signature amid allegations of fraud in pro-tax drives. The closely contested signature race and competing measures heighten uncertainty.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"加州选票上的亿万富翁一次性财富税？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"加州选票上的亿万富翁一次性财富税？"，概率为 65%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 65¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 65%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"加州选票上的亿万富翁一次性财富税？"已产生 $84.4K 的总交易量（自Oct 24, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"加州选票上的亿万富翁一次性财富税？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"加州选票上的亿万富翁一次性财富税？"的当前领先者是"加州选票上的亿万富翁一次性财富税？"，概率为 65%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 65%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"加州选票上的亿万富翁一次性财富税？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。