Trader consensus favors CDU to claim the most seats in Berlin's Abgeordnetenhaus election on September 20, driven by its stable 22% polling lead in the latest INSA survey (February 17–24), five points ahead of AfD, SPD, Grüne, and Die Linke clustered at 15–17%. Incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD grand coalition holds steady amid fragmented opposition, projecting CDU 34 seats against 23–25 for rivals in a 130+ seat house under mixed-member proportional representation. National CDU momentum under Chancellor Merz reinforces this edge, with no major shifts in the past month; upcoming campaign events could test the closely contested field where majorities require 66 seats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于基民盟 51%
林克党 13%
格林党 11.8%
德国选择党 10.7%
$1,890,265 交易量
$1,890,265 交易量
Sep 20, 2026
基民盟
51%
林克党
13%
格林党
12%
德国选择党
11%
社民党
9%
BSW
1%
自民党
<1%
FW
<1%
基民盟 51%
林克党 13%
格林党 11.8%
德国选择党 10.7%
$1,890,265 交易量
$1,890,265 交易量
Sep 20, 2026
基民盟
$9,012 交易量
51%
林克党
$8,150 交易量
13%
格林党
$23,086 交易量
12%
德国选择党
$1,539,245 交易量
11%
社民党
$281,769 交易量
9%
BSW
$15,565 交易量
1%
自民党
$8,318 交易量
<1%
FW
$5,121 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Trader consensus favors CDU to claim the most seats in Berlin's Abgeordnetenhaus election on September 20, driven by its stable 22% polling lead in the latest INSA survey (February 17–24), five points ahead of AfD, SPD, Grüne, and Die Linke clustered at 15–17%. Incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD grand coalition holds steady amid fragmented opposition, projecting CDU 34 seats against 23–25 for rivals in a 130+ seat house under mixed-member proportional representation. National CDU momentum under Chancellor Merz reinforces this edge, with no major shifts in the past month; upcoming campaign events could test the closely contested field where majorities require 66 seats.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
市场开放时间： Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET
交易量
$1,890,265结束日期
Sep 20, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Trader consensus favors CDU to claim the most seats in Berlin's Abgeordnetenhaus election on September 20, driven by its stable 22% polling lead in the latest INSA survey (February 17–24), five points ahead of AfD, SPD, Grüne, and Die Linke clustered at 15–17%. Incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD grand coalition holds steady amid fragmented opposition, projecting CDU 34 seats against 23–25 for rivals in a 130+ seat house under mixed-member proportional representation. National CDU momentum under Chancellor Merz reinforces this edge, with no major shifts in the past month; upcoming campaign events could test the closely contested field where majorities require 66 seats.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
交易量
$1,890,265结束日期
Sep 20, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors CDU to claim the most seats in Berlin's Abgeordnetenhaus election on September 20, driven by its stable 22% polling lead in the latest INSA survey (February 17–24), five points ahead of AfD, SPD, Grüne, and Die Linke clustered at 15–17%. Incumbent Governing Mayor Kai Wegner's CDU-SPD grand coalition holds steady amid fragmented opposition, projecting CDU 34 seats against 23–25 for rivals in a 130+ seat house under mixed-member proportional representation. National CDU momentum under Chancellor Merz reinforces this edge, with no major shifts in the past month; upcoming campaign events could test the closely contested field where majorities require 66 seats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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