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政治·特朗普

特朗普將在3月與誰交談？

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政治·特朗普

特朗普將在3月與誰交談？

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

$978,979 交易量

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$978,979 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

習近平

$759,812 交易量

77%

Market icon

馬克·呂特

$18,121 交易量

23%

Market icon

穆罕默德·本·薩勒曼

$4,506 交易量

12%

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弗拉基米爾·澤連斯基

$6,527 交易量

8%

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艾哈邁德·沙拉

$660 交易量

5%

Market icon

禮薩·巴列維

$20,585 交易量

1%

Market icon

Masoud Pezeshkian

$1,601 交易量

1%

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金正恩

$17,376 交易量

1%

Market icon

教宗良十四世

$1,121 交易量

1%

Market icon

尼古拉斯·馬杜羅

$26,424 交易量

1%

Market icon

尹錫悅

$2,576 交易量

1%

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MrBeast

$50,671 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices Xi Jinping as the overwhelming favorite at 76% implied probability for a March conversation with President Trump, driven by unverified White House claims from Trump and spokesperson Karoline Leavitt of a recent phone call, amid Beijing's strategic leverage during the ongoing US-Iran military operations that began early March. Trump postponed a planned late-March summit with Xi to May 14-15 on March 16, citing priorities in the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian nuclear threats following US-China economic talks in Paris on March 15. No public confirmations from China—unusual for such bilaterals—fuels debate, while NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte trades at 22% amid alliance strains over Iran support. Confirmed calls with unlisted leaders like Japan's PM Sanae Takaichi (March 19) and India's Narendra Modi (March 24) highlight Trump's active diplomacy, but the market awaits final verification by March 31 resolution.

Trader consensus prices Xi Jinping as the overwhelming favorite at 76% implied probability for a March conversation with President Trump, driven by unverified White House claims from Trump and spokesperson Karoline Leavitt of a recent phone call, amid Beijing's strategic leverage during the ongoing US-Iran military operations that began early March. Trump postponed a planned late-March summit with Xi to May 14-15 on March 16, citing priorities in the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian nuclear threats following US-China economic talks in Paris on March 15. No public confirmations from China—unusual for such bilaterals—fuels debate, while NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte trades at 22% amid alliance strains over Iran support. Confirmed calls with unlisted leaders like Japan's PM Sanae Takaichi (March 19) and India's Narendra Modi (March 24) highlight Trump's active diplomacy, but the market awaits final verification by March 31 resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between March 1 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices Xi Jinping as the overwhelming favorite at 76% implied probability for a March conversation with President Trump, driven by unverified White House claims from Trump and spokesperson Karoline Leavitt of a recent phone call, amid Beijing's strategic leverage during the ongoing US-Iran military operations that began early March. Trump postponed a planned late-March summit with Xi to May 14-15 on March 16, citing priorities in the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian nuclear threats following US-China economic talks in Paris on March 15. No public confirmations from China—unusual for such bilaterals—fuels debate, while NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte trades at 22% amid alliance strains over Iran support. Confirmed calls with unlisted leaders like Japan's PM Sanae Takaichi (March 19) and India's Narendra Modi (March 24) highlight Trump's active diplomacy, but the market awaits final verification by March 31 resolution.

Trader consensus prices Xi Jinping as the overwhelming favorite at 76% implied probability for a March conversation with President Trump, driven by unverified White House claims from Trump and spokesperson Karoline Leavitt of a recent phone call, amid Beijing's strategic leverage during the ongoing US-Iran military operations that began early March. Trump postponed a planned late-March summit with Xi to May 14-15 on March 16, citing priorities in the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian nuclear threats following US-China economic talks in Paris on March 15. No public confirmations from China—unusual for such bilaterals—fuels debate, while NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte trades at 22% amid alliance strains over Iran support. Confirmed calls with unlisted leaders like Japan's PM Sanae Takaichi (March 19) and India's Narendra Modi (March 24) highlight Trump's active diplomacy, but the market awaits final verification by March 31 resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普將在3月與誰交談？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "弗里德里希·梅爾茨" at 100%, followed by "瑪麗亞·科琳娜·馬查多" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普將在3月與誰交談？" has generated $979K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普將在3月與誰交談？," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普將在3月與誰交談？" is "弗里德里希·梅爾茨" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "瑪麗亞·科琳娜·馬查多" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普將在3月與誰交談？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.