Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "paid a big price/paying a big price" at 24% and "finish the job" at 21% likelihood for President Trump's Truth Social posts or statements March 29-April 5, reflecting his recent rhetoric on U.S. military operations against Iran, where he described foes as "being decimated" and progress as "going GREAT" in a March 27 post ahead of his Miami economics speech. Lower odds on "Khamenei" (5%) and "embargo" (10%) signal caution amid the March 23-announced five-day pause in West Asia hostilities and Hormuz Strait threats, despite escalation risks. With no public events scheduled post-Mar-a-Lago weekend, traders eye frequent social media for healthcare jabs like today's ObamaCare critique and foreign policy updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$484,676 交易量
Mar 29, 2026
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
11%
Kaitlan Collins
2%
Eat our Lunch
5%
Ethanol
14%
Embargo
12%
Finish the Job
48%
Khamenei
8%
Chuck Norris
2%
$484,676 交易量
Paid a big price / Paying a big price
$20,383 交易量
11%
Kaitlan Collins
$5,141 交易量
2%
Eat our Lunch
$2,057 交易量
5%
Ethanol
$12,172 交易量
14%
Embargo
$8,791 交易量
12%
Finish the Job
$4,529 交易量
48%
Khamenei
$54,878 交易量
8%
Chuck Norris
$10,198 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "paid a big price/paying a big price" at 24% and "finish the job" at 21% likelihood for President Trump's Truth Social posts or statements March 29-April 5, reflecting his recent rhetoric on U.S. military operations against Iran, where he described foes as "being decimated" and progress as "going GREAT" in a March 27 post ahead of his Miami economics speech. Lower odds on "Khamenei" (5%) and "embargo" (10%) signal caution amid the March 23-announced five-day pause in West Asia hostilities and Hormuz Strait threats, despite escalation risks. With no public events scheduled post-Mar-a-Lago weekend, traders eye frequent social media for healthcare jabs like today's ObamaCare critique and foreign policy updates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
交易量
$484,676結束日期
Mar 29, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "paid a big price/paying a big price" at 24% and "finish the job" at 21% likelihood for President Trump's Truth Social posts or statements March 29-April 5, reflecting his recent rhetoric on U.S. military operations against Iran, where he described foes as "being decimated" and progress as "going GREAT" in a March 27 post ahead of his Miami economics speech. Lower odds on "Khamenei" (5%) and "embargo" (10%) signal caution amid the March 23-announced five-day pause in West Asia hostilities and Hormuz Strait threats, despite escalation risks. With no public events scheduled post-Mar-a-Lago weekend, traders eye frequent social media for healthcare jabs like today's ObamaCare critique and foreign policy updates.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
交易量
$484,676結束日期
Mar 29, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "paid a big price/paying a big price" at 24% and "finish the job" at 21% likelihood for President Trump's Truth Social posts or statements March 29-April 5, reflecting his recent rhetoric on U.S. military operations against Iran, where he described foes as "being decimated" and progress as "going GREAT" in a March 27 post ahead of his Miami economics speech. Lower odds on "Khamenei" (5%) and "embargo" (10%) signal caution amid the March 23-announced five-day pause in West Asia hostilities and Hormuz Strait threats, despite escalation risks. With no public events scheduled post-Mar-a-Lago weekend, traders eye frequent social media for healthcare jabs like today's ObamaCare critique and foreign policy updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions