Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Capital of the World" at 72% probability as the most likely phrase President Trump will utter verbally in a public audio or video from March 1-31, driven by his frequent use of the expression in past addresses and reinforced by yesterday's March 27 remarks at the FII Priority Summit in Miami—where he touted US-Israeli military actions against Iran as reshaping the Middle East—and speeches to farmers amid escalating tensions. Elevated odds also reflect "Sudan" at 57% following an early-month verbal reference, "War On Fraud" at 54% tied to administration priorities, and "Coward" at 42% per Trump's rhetorical style against opponents. With three days left until resolution, additional speeches or press gaggles could elevate frontrunners, while high-volume bets keep low-probability outcomes like "N Word" at 3.4%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$144,155 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
Big Fat Cat
7%
N Word
1%
Hottest Nation
8%
Little Rocket Man
4%
China Virus / Wuhan Lab
6%
Low Energy
11%
Aliens are Real
1%
Kanye / Taylor Swift
4%
Banana Republic
7%
Judy Shelton
3%
Secret Word
5%
Charlie Kirk
12%
War On Fraud
13%
Coward
19%
Capital of the World
9%
UFC Fight
16%
Liberation Day
13%
Sudan
45%
Truth Social
17%
Erika Kirk
9%
Third term
14%
$144,155 交易量
Big Fat Cat
$772 交易量
7%
N Word
$32,880 交易量
1%
Hottest Nation
$10,858 交易量
8%
Little Rocket Man
$1,392 交易量
4%
China Virus / Wuhan Lab
$771 交易量
6%
Low Energy
$3,816 交易量
11%
Aliens are Real
$8,816 交易量
1%
Kanye / Taylor Swift
$1,485 交易量
4%
Banana Republic
$1,339 交易量
7%
Judy Shelton
$0 交易量
3%
Secret Word
$166 交易量
5%
Charlie Kirk
$4,189 交易量
12%
War On Fraud
$293 交易量
13%
Coward
$5,065 交易量
19%
Capital of the World
$618 交易量
9%
UFC Fight
$1,030 交易量
16%
Liberation Day
$0 交易量
13%
Sudan
$289 交易量
45%
Truth Social
$5,905 交易量
17%
Erika Kirk
$355 交易量
9%
Third term
$16,793 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Capital of the World" at 72% probability as the most likely phrase President Trump will utter verbally in a public audio or video from March 1-31, driven by his frequent use of the expression in past addresses and reinforced by yesterday's March 27 remarks at the FII Priority Summit in Miami—where he touted US-Israeli military actions against Iran as reshaping the Middle East—and speeches to farmers amid escalating tensions. Elevated odds also reflect "Sudan" at 57% following an early-month verbal reference, "War On Fraud" at 54% tied to administration priorities, and "Coward" at 42% per Trump's rhetorical style against opponents. With three days left until resolution, additional speeches or press gaggles could elevate frontrunners, while high-volume bets keep low-probability outcomes like "N Word" at 3.4%.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
市場開放時間： Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
交易量
$144,155結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Capital of the World" at 72% probability as the most likely phrase President Trump will utter verbally in a public audio or video from March 1-31, driven by his frequent use of the expression in past addresses and reinforced by yesterday's March 27 remarks at the FII Priority Summit in Miami—where he touted US-Israeli military actions against Iran as reshaping the Middle East—and speeches to farmers amid escalating tensions. Elevated odds also reflect "Sudan" at 57% following an early-month verbal reference, "War On Fraud" at 54% tied to administration priorities, and "Coward" at 42% per Trump's rhetorical style against opponents. With three days left until resolution, additional speeches or press gaggles could elevate frontrunners, while high-volume bets keep low-probability outcomes like "N Word" at 3.4%.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
交易量
$144,155結束日期
Mar 31, 2026市場開放時間
Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Capital of the World" at 72% probability as the most likely phrase President Trump will utter verbally in a public audio or video from March 1-31, driven by his frequent use of the expression in past addresses and reinforced by yesterday's March 27 remarks at the FII Priority Summit in Miami—where he touted US-Israeli military actions against Iran as reshaping the Middle East—and speeches to farmers amid escalating tensions. Elevated odds also reflect "Sudan" at 57% following an early-month verbal reference, "War On Fraud" at 54% tied to administration priorities, and "Coward" at 42% per Trump's rhetorical style against opponents. With three days left until resolution, additional speeches or press gaggles could elevate frontrunners, while high-volume bets keep low-probability outcomes like "N Word" at 3.4%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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