Trump's Truth Social posts during March 23-29 focused intensely on U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, issuing a 48-hour ultimatum for Iran to reopen the oil chokepoint or face obliteration of power plants, followed by announcements of "very good and productive" talks leading to a five-day strike pause and further extension to April 6 amid reports of 20 oil tankers passing as a gesture. References to the Ayatollah in potential joint control discussions aligned with one market outcome, while no mentions appeared for domestic staples like "CNN Fake News," "Democrat Shutdown," "Boeing," or "Impeach." This geopolitical fixation, driven by Israeli airstrikes, Hormuz disruptions, and soaring global oil prices, anchors trader consensus at low implied probabilities below 12% across outcomes, reflecting uncertainty until official resolution verifies exact phrasing from @realDonaldTrump posts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於$110,930 交易量
Mar 29, 2026
NATO
Yes
Nasty
No
Boeing
No
Ballroom
No
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
No
Panican
No
Free Tina Peters
No
Peace Through Strength
Yes
Epic Fury
No
Bully of the Middle East
No
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
No
Excursion
No
FBI
Yes
Evil Empire
No
Fool
Yes
Ayatollah / Khamenei
No
AI / Artificial Intelligence
No
Democrat Shutdown
No
Bomb / Bomber
No
Impeach / Impeachment
No
Terrorist
Yes
Congresswoman
Yes
Texas
Yes
Spain
No
$110,930 交易量
NATO
$0 交易量
Yes
Nasty
$9,765 交易量
No
Boeing
$10,926 交易量
No
Ballroom
$6,362 交易量
No
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
$7,336 交易量
No
Panican
$9,578 交易量
No
Free Tina Peters
$4,665 交易量
No
Peace Through Strength
$0 交易量
Yes
Epic Fury
$4,532 交易量
No
Bully of the Middle East
$4,800 交易量
No
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
$2,478 交易量
No
Excursion
$3,423 交易量
No
FBI
$0 交易量
Yes
Evil Empire
$1,455 交易量
No
Fool
$0 交易量
Yes
Ayatollah / Khamenei
$4,370 交易量
No
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$8,039 交易量
No
Democrat Shutdown
$8,958 交易量
No
Bomb / Bomber
$5,572 交易量
No
Impeach / Impeachment
$6,140 交易量
No
Terrorist
$0 交易量
Yes
Congresswoman
$0 交易量
Yes
Texas
$0 交易量
Yes
Spain
$12,531 交易量
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.Trump's Truth Social posts during March 23-29 focused intensely on U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, issuing a 48-hour ultimatum for Iran to reopen the oil chokepoint or face obliteration of power plants, followed by announcements of "very good and productive" talks leading to a five-day strike pause and further extension to April 6 amid reports of 20 oil tankers passing as a gesture. References to the Ayatollah in potential joint control discussions aligned with one market outcome, while no mentions appeared for domestic staples like "CNN Fake News," "Democrat Shutdown," "Boeing," or "Impeach." This geopolitical fixation, driven by Israeli airstrikes, Hormuz disruptions, and soaring global oil prices, anchors trader consensus at low implied probabilities below 12% across outcomes, reflecting uncertainty until official resolution verifies exact phrasing from @realDonaldTrump posts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
市場開放時間： Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
交易量
$110,930結束日期
Mar 29, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.Trump's Truth Social posts during March 23-29 focused intensely on U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, issuing a 48-hour ultimatum for Iran to reopen the oil chokepoint or face obliteration of power plants, followed by announcements of "very good and productive" talks leading to a five-day strike pause and further extension to April 6 amid reports of 20 oil tankers passing as a gesture. References to the Ayatollah in potential joint control discussions aligned with one market outcome, while no mentions appeared for domestic staples like "CNN Fake News," "Democrat Shutdown," "Boeing," or "Impeach." This geopolitical fixation, driven by Israeli airstrikes, Hormuz disruptions, and soaring global oil prices, anchors trader consensus at low implied probabilities below 12% across outcomes, reflecting uncertainty until official resolution verifies exact phrasing from @realDonaldTrump posts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
交易量
$110,930結束日期
Mar 29, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trump's Truth Social posts during March 23-29 focused intensely on U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, issuing a 48-hour ultimatum for Iran to reopen the oil chokepoint or face obliteration of power plants, followed by announcements of "very good and productive" talks leading to a five-day strike pause and further extension to April 6 amid reports of 20 oil tankers passing as a gesture. References to the Ayatollah in potential joint control discussions aligned with one market outcome, while no mentions appeared for domestic staples like "CNN Fake News," "Democrat Shutdown," "Boeing," or "Impeach." This geopolitical fixation, driven by Israeli airstrikes, Hormuz disruptions, and soaring global oil prices, anchors trader consensus at low implied probabilities below 12% across outcomes, reflecting uncertainty until official resolution verifies exact phrasing from @realDonaldTrump posts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions