Trader consensus on Polymarket prices SpaceX's IPO valuation in a tight race between $1.50-1.75 trillion (29.5% implied probability) and $1.75-2.00 trillion (29.0%), reflecting recent reports of an imminent SEC filing this week potentially raising over $75 billion at around $1.75 trillion—up from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer and a post-xAI merger $1.25 trillion mark. Starlink's projected 2026 revenue surge to $9-18 billion, fueled by 9 million subscribers and satellite expansion, underpins the premium, alongside launch cadence dominance and $8 billion 2025 profits. Yet, differentiation hinges on Starship milestones, capex intensity, and Musk premium scrutiny versus peers like Rocket Lab; a June listing looms as the key catalyst amid volatile space sector sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於1.50-1.75 兆 30%
1.75-2.00 兆 29%
2.00-2.25 兆 13%
1.25-1.50 兆 10.2%
$38,778 交易量
$38,778 交易量
低於1.25兆
5%
1.25-1.50 兆
10%
1.50-1.75 兆
30%
1.75-2.00 兆
29%
2.00-2.25 兆
13%
2.25-2.50 兆
9%
2.50 兆以上
7%
1.50-1.75 兆 30%
1.75-2.00 兆 29%
2.00-2.25 兆 13%
1.25-1.50 兆 10.2%
$38,778 交易量
$38,778 交易量
低於1.25兆
$10,087 交易量
5%
1.25-1.50 兆
$7,872 交易量
10%
1.50-1.75 兆
$3,507 交易量
30%
1.75-2.00 兆
$2,788 交易量
29%
2.00-2.25 兆
$2,599 交易量
13%
2.25-2.50 兆
$5,902 交易量
9%
2.50 兆以上
$6,024 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices SpaceX's IPO valuation in a tight race between $1.50-1.75 trillion (29.5% implied probability) and $1.75-2.00 trillion (29.0%), reflecting recent reports of an imminent SEC filing this week potentially raising over $75 billion at around $1.75 trillion—up from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer and a post-xAI merger $1.25 trillion mark. Starlink's projected 2026 revenue surge to $9-18 billion, fueled by 9 million subscribers and satellite expansion, underpins the premium, alongside launch cadence dominance and $8 billion 2025 profits. Yet, differentiation hinges on Starship milestones, capex intensity, and Musk premium scrutiny versus peers like Rocket Lab; a June listing looms as the key catalyst amid volatile space sector sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
交易量
$38,778市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices SpaceX's IPO valuation in a tight race between $1.50-1.75 trillion (29.5% implied probability) and $1.75-2.00 trillion (29.0%), reflecting recent reports of an imminent SEC filing this week potentially raising over $75 billion at around $1.75 trillion—up from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer and a post-xAI merger $1.25 trillion mark. Starlink's projected 2026 revenue surge to $9-18 billion, fueled by 9 million subscribers and satellite expansion, underpins the premium, alongside launch cadence dominance and $8 billion 2025 profits. Yet, differentiation hinges on Starship milestones, capex intensity, and Musk premium scrutiny versus peers like Rocket Lab; a June listing looms as the key catalyst amid volatile space sector sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$38,778市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices SpaceX's IPO valuation in a tight race between $1.50-1.75 trillion (29.5% implied probability) and $1.75-2.00 trillion (29.0%), reflecting recent reports of an imminent SEC filing this week potentially raising over $75 billion at around $1.75 trillion—up from December 2025's $800 billion tender offer and a post-xAI merger $1.25 trillion mark. Starlink's projected 2026 revenue surge to $9-18 billion, fueled by 9 million subscribers and satellite expansion, underpins the premium, alongside launch cadence dominance and $8 billion 2025 profits. Yet, differentiation hinges on Starship milestones, capex intensity, and Musk premium scrutiny versus peers like Rocket Lab; a June listing looms as the key catalyst amid volatile space sector sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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