Market icon

3rd richest person on December 31?

Market icon

3rd richest person on December 31?

Sergey Brin 24%

Larry Page 22.5%

Mark Zuckerberg 20%

Warren Buffett 20%

Polymarket

$21,725 交易量

Sergey Brin 24%

Larry Page 22.5%

Mark Zuckerberg 20%

Warren Buffett 20%

Polymarket

$21,725 交易量

Market icon

Sergey Brin

$250 交易量

20%

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Larry Page

$6,538 交易量

22%

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Mark Zuckerberg

$434 交易量

20%

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Warren Buffett

$355 交易量

20%

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Jeff Bezos

$217 交易量

15%

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Jensen Huang

$406 交易量

19%

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Bernard Arnault

$199 交易量

13%

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Elon Musk

$207 交易量

10%

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Larry Ellison

$0 交易量

13%

Market icon

Steve Ballmer

$13,121 交易量

7%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket pins Mark Zuckerberg as a narrow frontrunner at 22.5% implied probability for third-richest person on December 31, amid a dead-heat race with Larry Page (21.7%), Jensen Huang (21.0%), Sergey Brin (21.0%), and Warren Buffett (20.0%), reflecting volatile tech trajectories and AI momentum. Current Bloomberg rankings place Brin third at $236 billion, but Zuckerberg's lead stems from anticipated Meta AI rebound despite recent $1.5 billion daily wipeout from court losses and metaverse setbacks; Huang climbs via Nvidia's AI chip dominance (+$1.4 billion daily to $147 billion); Alphabet duo rides steady Google Cloud; Buffett's Berkshire diversification yields reliable gains. Key swings hinge on Q2 earnings, Fed moves, and AI product launches through year-end.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$21,725
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket pins Mark Zuckerberg as a narrow frontrunner at 22.5% implied probability for third-richest person on December 31, amid a dead-heat race with Larry Page (21.7%), Jensen Huang (21.0%), Sergey Brin (21.0%), and Warren Buffett (20.0%), reflecting volatile tech trajectories and AI momentum. Current Bloomberg rankings place Brin third at $236 billion, but Zuckerberg's lead stems from anticipated Meta AI rebound despite recent $1.5 billion daily wipeout from court losses and metaverse setbacks; Huang climbs via Nvidia's AI chip dominance (+$1.4 billion daily to $147 billion); Alphabet duo rides steady Google Cloud; Buffett's Berkshire diversification yields reliable gains. Key swings hinge on Q2 earnings, Fed moves, and AI product launches through year-end.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$21,725
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"3rd richest person on December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Larry Page" at 23%, followed by "Sergey Brin" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3rd richest person on December 31?" has generated $21.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3rd richest person on December 31?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3rd richest person on December 31?" is "Larry Page" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sergey Brin" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3rd richest person on December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.