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3月31日的第三大富豪?

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3月31日的第三大富豪?

傑夫·貝佐斯 100.0%

拉里·埃里森 <1%

貝爾納·阿爾諾 <1%

黃仁勳 <1%

Polymarket

$351,778 交易量

傑夫·貝佐斯 100.0%

拉里·埃里森 <1%

貝爾納·阿爾諾 <1%

黃仁勳 <1%

Polymarket

$351,778 交易量

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拉里·埃里森

$3,823 交易量

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貝爾納·阿爾諾

$3,946 交易量

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黃仁勳

$8,874 交易量

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史蒂夫·鮑爾默

$4,222 交易量

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謝爾蓋·布林

$83,262 交易量

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伊隆·馬斯克

$8,902 交易量

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馬克·祖克柏

$6,147 交易量

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傑夫·貝佐斯

$222,508 交易量

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沃倫·巴菲特

$3,718 交易量

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拉里·佩奇

$6,376 交易量

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus gives Jeff Bezos a 100% implied probability as the third-richest person on March 31, 2026, backed by real-time snapshots from Forbes and Bloomberg Billionaires Index confirming his position behind frontrunners Elon Musk and Larry Page, ahead of Sergey Brin by roughly $4 billion. Late-March momentum from steady Amazon stock gains widened the gap over Brin, whose Alphabet shares dipped amid tech sector fluctuations, solidifying Bezos' lead after overtaking him earlier in the year. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects overwhelming precursor data from daily index updates. Realistic upsets would require extreme end-of-day surges in competitors' stocks like Nvidia or Oracle, but wide margins and market closes make shifts improbable.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$351,778
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus gives Jeff Bezos a 100% implied probability as the third-richest person on March 31, 2026, backed by real-time snapshots from Forbes and Bloomberg Billionaires Index confirming his position behind frontrunners Elon Musk and Larry Page, ahead of Sergey Brin by roughly $4 billion. Late-March momentum from steady Amazon stock gains widened the gap over Brin, whose Alphabet shares dipped amid tech sector fluctuations, solidifying Bezos' lead after overtaking him earlier in the year. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects overwhelming precursor data from daily index updates. Realistic upsets would require extreme end-of-day surges in competitors' stocks like Nvidia or Oracle, but wide margins and market closes make shifts improbable.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$351,778
結束日期
2026-03-31
市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"3月31日的第三大富豪?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "傑夫·貝佐斯" at 100%, followed by "拉里·埃里森" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3月31日的第三大富豪?" has generated $351.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3月31日的第三大富豪?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3月31日的第三大富豪?" is "傑夫·貝佐斯" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "拉里·埃里森" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3月31日的第三大富豪?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.