Trader consensus gives Jeff Bezos a 100% implied probability as the third-richest person on March 31, 2026, backed by real-time snapshots from Forbes and Bloomberg Billionaires Index confirming his position behind frontrunners Elon Musk and Larry Page, ahead of Sergey Brin by roughly $4 billion. Late-March momentum from steady Amazon stock gains widened the gap over Brin, whose Alphabet shares dipped amid tech sector fluctuations, solidifying Bezos' lead after overtaking him earlier in the year. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects overwhelming precursor data from daily index updates. Realistic upsets would require extreme end-of-day surges in competitors' stocks like Nvidia or Oracle, but wide margins and market closes make shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月31日的第三大富豪?
3月31日的第三大富豪?
傑夫·貝佐斯 100.0%
拉里·埃里森 <1%
貝爾納·阿爾諾 <1%
黃仁勳 <1%
$351,778 交易量
$351,778 交易量

拉里·埃里森
否

貝爾納·阿爾諾
否

黃仁勳
否

史蒂夫·鮑爾默
否

謝爾蓋·布林
否

伊隆·馬斯克
否

馬克·祖克柏
否

傑夫·貝佐斯
是

沃倫·巴菲特
否

拉里·佩奇
否
傑夫·貝佐斯 100.0%
拉里·埃里森 <1%
貝爾納·阿爾諾 <1%
黃仁勳 <1%
$351,778 交易量
$351,778 交易量

拉里·埃里森
否

貝爾納·阿爾諾
否

黃仁勳
否

史蒂夫·鮑爾默
否

謝爾蓋·布林
否

伊隆·馬斯克
否

馬克·祖克柏
否

傑夫·貝佐斯
是

沃倫·巴菲特
否

拉里·佩奇
否
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
市場開放時間: Jan 30, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus gives Jeff Bezos a 100% implied probability as the third-richest person on March 31, 2026, backed by real-time snapshots from Forbes and Bloomberg Billionaires Index confirming his position behind frontrunners Elon Musk and Larry Page, ahead of Sergey Brin by roughly $4 billion. Late-March momentum from steady Amazon stock gains widened the gap over Brin, whose Alphabet shares dipped amid tech sector fluctuations, solidifying Bezos' lead after overtaking him earlier in the year. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects overwhelming precursor data from daily index updates. Realistic upsets would require extreme end-of-day surges in competitors' stocks like Nvidia or Oracle, but wide margins and market closes make shifts improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions