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經濟艙·Elon Musk

Elon Musk 3月31日的淨資產？

Market icon
經濟艙·Elon Musk

Elon Musk 3月31日的淨資產？

Mar 31

Mar 31

少於6400億 54%

6400-6500億 31%

6500-6600億 7%

6600-6700億 4.5%

Polymarket

$599,483 交易量

少於6400億 54%

6400-6500億 31%

6500-6600億 7%

6600-6700億 4.5%

Polymarket

$599,483 交易量

少於6400億

$67,331 交易量

54%

6400-6500億

$34,374 交易量

31%

6500-6600億

$35,263 交易量

7%

6600-6700億

$48,365 交易量

5%

6,700-6,800億

$25,573 交易量

2%

6800億至6900億

$25,011 交易量

1%

6900億-7000億

$25,810 交易量

<1%

7,000億-7,100億

$24,578 交易量

1%

7100億+

$313,177 交易量

3%

This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on March 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 54.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth falling below $640 billion by March 31, 2026, reflecting recent Tesla share price weakness that eroded roughly $10 billion from his fortune in a single day as of March 27. Tesla (TSLA) closed at $362 on March 27 after declining 6% over the prior week amid analyst downgrades to 3.8% delivery growth for 2026, U.S. sales plunges, and cash burn concerns, trimming value from Musk's ~11% stake. SpaceX-xAI combined valuation holds steady at ~$1.03 trillion post-February merger, with Musk's 44% stake providing offset, though pledged shares add liability drag. With just days to resolution, volatility in TSLA trading could swing outcomes toward the tight 640-650b bin at 31%.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 54.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth falling below $640 billion by March 31, 2026, reflecting recent Tesla share price weakness that eroded roughly $10 billion from his fortune in a single day as of March 27. Tesla (TSLA) closed at $362 on March 27 after declining 6% over the prior week amid analyst downgrades to 3.8% delivery growth for 2026, U.S. sales plunges, and cash burn concerns, trimming value from Musk's ~11% stake. SpaceX-xAI combined valuation holds steady at ~$1.03 trillion post-February merger, with Musk's 44% stake providing offset, though pledged shares add liability drag. With just days to resolution, volatility in TSLA trading could swing outcomes toward the tight 640-650b bin at 31%.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on March 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 54.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth falling below $640 billion by March 31, 2026, reflecting recent Tesla share price weakness that eroded roughly $10 billion from his fortune in a single day as of March 27. Tesla (TSLA) closed at $362 on March 27 after declining 6% over the prior week amid analyst downgrades to 3.8% delivery growth for 2026, U.S. sales plunges, and cash burn concerns, trimming value from Musk's ~11% stake. SpaceX-xAI combined valuation holds steady at ~$1.03 trillion post-February merger, with Musk's 44% stake providing offset, though pledged shares add liability drag. With just days to resolution, volatility in TSLA trading could swing outcomes toward the tight 640-650b bin at 31%.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 54.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth falling below $640 billion by March 31, 2026, reflecting recent Tesla share price weakness that eroded roughly $10 billion from his fortune in a single day as of March 27. Tesla (TSLA) closed at $362 on March 27 after declining 6% over the prior week amid analyst downgrades to 3.8% delivery growth for 2026, U.S. sales plunges, and cash burn concerns, trimming value from Musk's ~11% stake. SpaceX-xAI combined valuation holds steady at ~$1.03 trillion post-February merger, with Musk's 44% stake providing offset, though pledged shares add liability drag. With just days to resolution, volatility in TSLA trading could swing outcomes toward the tight 640-650b bin at 31%.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk 3月31日的淨資產？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "少於6400億" at 55%, followed by "6400-6500億" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk 3月31日的淨資產？" has generated $599.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk 3月31日的淨資產？," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk 3月31日的淨資產？" is "少於6400億" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "6400-6500億" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk 3月31日的淨資產？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.