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經濟艙·Elon Musk

Elon Musk 3月31日的淨資產？

Market icon
經濟艙·Elon Musk

Elon Musk 3月31日的淨資產？

Mar 31

Mar 31

少於6400億 52%

6400-6500億 32%

6500-6600億 8%

7100億+ 2.7%

Polymarket

$635,050 交易量

少於6400億 52%

6400-6500億 32%

6500-6600億 8%

7100億+ 2.7%

Polymarket

$635,050 交易量

少於6400億

$67,343 交易量

52%

6400-6500億

$34,414 交易量

32%

6500-6600億

$35,426 交易量

8%

6600-6700億

$48,448 交易量

2%

6,700-6,800億

$25,593 交易量

2%

6800億至6900億

$25,017 交易量

1%

6900億-7000億

$25,817 交易量

<1%

7,000億-7,100億

$24,635 交易量

1%

7100億+

$348,357 交易量

3%

This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on March 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.Tesla shares' 11% decline from mid-March peaks to a March 27 close of $361.83—driven by Q1 delivery shortfalls projected at 366,000 units, weakening EV demand, and bearish analyst calls like HSBC's $150 price target—has anchored Polymarket trader consensus below $640 billion for Elon Musk's Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth on March 31, pricing a 54% implied probability. Conservative valuations of Musk's 42% SpaceX stake amid $1.75 trillion IPO speculation, alongside stable xAI holdings post-merger, temper upside, with 640-650b at 32.5% reflecting tight positioning. Proximity to resolution amplifies volatility risks from final trading sessions and index adjustments.

Tesla shares' 11% decline from mid-March peaks to a March 27 close of $361.83—driven by Q1 delivery shortfalls projected at 366,000 units, weakening EV demand, and bearish analyst calls like HSBC's $150 price target—has anchored Polymarket trader consensus below $640 billion for Elon Musk's Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth on March 31, pricing a 54% implied probability. Conservative valuations of Musk's 42% SpaceX stake amid $1.75 trillion IPO speculation, alongside stable xAI holdings post-merger, temper upside, with 640-650b at 32.5% reflecting tight positioning. Proximity to resolution amplifies volatility risks from final trading sessions and index adjustments.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on March 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.Tesla shares' 11% decline from mid-March peaks to a March 27 close of $361.83—driven by Q1 delivery shortfalls projected at 366,000 units, weakening EV demand, and bearish analyst calls like HSBC's $150 price target—has anchored Polymarket trader consensus below $640 billion for Elon Musk's Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth on March 31, pricing a 54% implied probability. Conservative valuations of Musk's 42% SpaceX stake amid $1.75 trillion IPO speculation, alongside stable xAI holdings post-merger, temper upside, with 640-650b at 32.5% reflecting tight positioning. Proximity to resolution amplifies volatility risks from final trading sessions and index adjustments.

Tesla shares' 11% decline from mid-March peaks to a March 27 close of $361.83—driven by Q1 delivery shortfalls projected at 366,000 units, weakening EV demand, and bearish analyst calls like HSBC's $150 price target—has anchored Polymarket trader consensus below $640 billion for Elon Musk's Bloomberg Billionaires Index net worth on March 31, pricing a 54% implied probability. Conservative valuations of Musk's 42% SpaceX stake amid $1.75 trillion IPO speculation, alongside stable xAI holdings post-merger, temper upside, with 640-650b at 32.5% reflecting tight positioning. Proximity to resolution amplifies volatility risks from final trading sessions and index adjustments.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk 3月31日的淨資產？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "少於6400億" at 52%, followed by "6400-6500億" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk 3月31日的淨資產？" has generated $635K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk 3月31日的淨資產？," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk 3月31日的淨資產？" is "少於6400億" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "6400-6500億" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk 3月31日的淨資產？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.