Market icon
政治·特朗普

唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年3月24日至3月31日？

Market icon
政治·特朗普

唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年3月24日至3月31日？

Mar 27

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Mar 27

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

TRUTH COUNT
52
剩餘時間
TRUTHS
52
剩餘時間

100-119 64%

80-99 19%

120-139 15%

140-159 1.8%

Polymarket

$475,468 交易量

100-119 64%

80-99 19%

120-139 15%

140-159 1.8%

Polymarket

$475,468 交易量

40-59

$70,858 交易量

<1%

60-79

$194,841 交易量

1%

80-99

$53,500 交易量

19%

100-119

$36,174 交易量

64%

120-139

$25,851 交易量

15%

140-159

$22,299 交易量

2%

160-179

$18,513 交易量

1%

180-199

$15,796 交易量

<1%

200+

$37,946 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 24, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's Truth Social posting pace through March 29—tracking at around 10-12 posts daily based on partial tracker data and the prior week's 97 posts from March 20-27—has traders pricing 100-119 as the consensus outcome for March 24-31, implying steady volume into the final day. This reflects his established pattern of 18 daily posts on average in 2025, continuing into 2026 without notable slowdowns. Recent developments fueling activity include posts on diplomatic wins like Envoy John Coale securing over 250 Belarus political prisoner releases, Iran Strait of Hormuz warnings amid U.S.-Israel strikes, and domestic clashes over TSA/DHS funding amid potential government shutdown risks with Senate Democrats. March 31 posting could tip totals higher if news escalates.

President Trump's Truth Social posting pace through March 29—tracking at around 10-12 posts daily based on partial tracker data and the prior week's 97 posts from March 20-27—has traders pricing 100-119 as the consensus outcome for March 24-31, implying steady volume into the final day. This reflects his established pattern of 18 daily posts on average in 2025, continuing into 2026 without notable slowdowns. Recent developments fueling activity include posts on diplomatic wins like Envoy John Coale securing over 250 Belarus political prisoner releases, Iran Strait of Hormuz warnings amid U.S.-Israel strikes, and domestic clashes over TSA/DHS funding amid potential government shutdown risks with Senate Democrats. March 31 posting could tip totals higher if news escalates.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 24, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's Truth Social posting pace through March 29—tracking at around 10-12 posts daily based on partial tracker data and the prior week's 97 posts from March 20-27—has traders pricing 100-119 as the consensus outcome for March 24-31, implying steady volume into the final day. This reflects his established pattern of 18 daily posts on average in 2025, continuing into 2026 without notable slowdowns. Recent developments fueling activity include posts on diplomatic wins like Envoy John Coale securing over 250 Belarus political prisoner releases, Iran Strait of Hormuz warnings amid U.S.-Israel strikes, and domestic clashes over TSA/DHS funding amid potential government shutdown risks with Senate Democrats. March 31 posting could tip totals higher if news escalates.

President Trump's Truth Social posting pace through March 29—tracking at around 10-12 posts daily based on partial tracker data and the prior week's 97 posts from March 20-27—has traders pricing 100-119 as the consensus outcome for March 24-31, implying steady volume into the final day. This reflects his established pattern of 18 daily posts on average in 2025, continuing into 2026 without notable slowdowns. Recent developments fueling activity include posts on diplomatic wins like Envoy John Coale securing over 250 Belarus political prisoner releases, Iran Strait of Hormuz warnings amid U.S.-Israel strikes, and domestic clashes over TSA/DHS funding amid potential government shutdown risks with Senate Democrats. March 31 posting could tip totals higher if news escalates.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年3月24日至3月31日？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "100-119" at 64%, followed by "80-99" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年3月24日至3月31日？" has generated $475.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年3月24日至3月31日？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年3月24日至3月31日？" is "100-119" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "80-99" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年3月24日至3月31日？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.