Google 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
Anthropic <1%
$4,152,259 Объем
$4,152,259 Объем
Jun 30, 2025

Yes

OpenAI
No

xAI
No

Anthropic
No

Meta
No

DeepSeek
No

Alibaba
No
Google 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
xAI <1%
Anthropic <1%
$4,152,259 Объем
$4,152,259 Объем
Jun 30, 2025

$906,676 Объем
Yes

OpenAI
$603,448 Объем
No

xAI
$773,958 Объем
No

Anthropic
$554,352 Объем
No

Meta
$531,416 Объем
No

DeepSeek
$403,616 Объем
No

Alibaba
$378,794 Объем
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Google has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by Google has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Dec 31, 2024, 3:51 PM ET
Объем
$4,152,259Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2025Открытие рынка
Dec 31, 2024, 3:51 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
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Frequently Asked Questions