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Precipitation in London in March?

Market icon

Precipitation in London in March?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

20-30mm 75.4%

30-40mm 12%

50-60mm 8.2%

40-50mm 7.1%

Polymarket
NEW

20-30mm 75.4%

30-40mm 12%

50-60mm 8.2%

40-50mm 7.1%

Polymarket
NEW

<20mm

$4,194 Объем

6%

20-30mm

$788 Объем

67%

30-40mm

$436 Объем

12%

40-50mm

$383 Объем

7%

50-60mm

$432 Объем

8%

60-70mm

$521 Объем

6%

70mm+

$1,112 Объем

5%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in March, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for March 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of March 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. If relevant data is not released by May 7, another resolution source will be chosen.Met Office observations at Heathrow Airport show approximately 26mm of precipitation accumulated through March 27, positioning the 20-30mm outcome at a 72.7% implied probability among traders, well below the 1991-2020 March climatological average of 44mm. Following an exceptionally wet winter with over 260mm UK-wide, a persistent high-pressure ridge has steered lighter Atlantic systems away from southeast England, resulting in frequent but minimal light rain events rather than sustained downpours, as confirmed by weekly Environment Agency summaries noting just 4-14mm in the region. Ensemble forecast models from the Met Office indicate low additional rainfall risk over the final days, with dry anticyclonic conditions dominant, though isolated showers remain possible; final totals hinge on daily gauge data releases.

Met Office observations at Heathrow Airport show approximately 26mm of precipitation accumulated through March 27, positioning the 20-30mm outcome at a 72.7% implied probability among traders, well below the 1991-2020 March climatological average of 44mm. Following an exceptionally wet winter with over 260mm UK-wide, a persistent high-pressure ridge has steered lighter Atlantic systems away from southeast England, resulting in frequent but minimal light rain events rather than sustained downpours, as confirmed by weekly Environment Agency summaries noting just 4-14mm in the region. Ensemble forecast models from the Met Office indicate low additional rainfall risk over the final days, with dry anticyclonic conditions dominant, though isolated showers remain possible; final totals hinge on daily gauge data releases.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in March, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for March 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of March 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. If relevant data is not released by May 7, another resolution source will be chosen.Met Office observations at Heathrow Airport show approximately 26mm of precipitation accumulated through March 27, positioning the 20-30mm outcome at a 72.7% implied probability among traders, well below the 1991-2020 March climatological average of 44mm. Following an exceptionally wet winter with over 260mm UK-wide, a persistent high-pressure ridge has steered lighter Atlantic systems away from southeast England, resulting in frequent but minimal light rain events rather than sustained downpours, as confirmed by weekly Environment Agency summaries noting just 4-14mm in the region. Ensemble forecast models from the Met Office indicate low additional rainfall risk over the final days, with dry anticyclonic conditions dominant, though isolated showers remain possible; final totals hinge on daily gauge data releases.

Met Office observations at Heathrow Airport show approximately 26mm of precipitation accumulated through March 27, positioning the 20-30mm outcome at a 72.7% implied probability among traders, well below the 1991-2020 March climatological average of 44mm. Following an exceptionally wet winter with over 260mm UK-wide, a persistent high-pressure ridge has steered lighter Atlantic systems away from southeast England, resulting in frequent but minimal light rain events rather than sustained downpours, as confirmed by weekly Environment Agency summaries noting just 4-14mm in the region. Ensemble forecast models from the Met Office indicate low additional rainfall risk over the final days, with dry anticyclonic conditions dominant, though isolated showers remain possible; final totals hinge on daily gauge data releases.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Precipitation in London in March?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «20-30mm» с 67%, за ним следует «30-40mm» с 12%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 67¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 67%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Precipitation in London in March?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Mar 13, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Precipitation in London in March?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Precipitation in London in March?» — «20-30mm» с 67%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 67%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30-40mm» с 12%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Precipitation in London in March?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.