Official surface observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations across Shanghai confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 21°C on March 28, locking in trader consensus at near-certainty for this outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with pre-day forecast model consensus from global sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local CMA guidance, which projected a daytime high of 21°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds capping warming. March climatology typically sees Shanghai highs around 13–15°C, but recent mild air masses from the south pushed this above average. Realistic challenges, such as a late-afternoon measurement revision from an outlier station or data correction, remain improbable given finalized reporting protocols; traders await any final CMA bulletin for absolute closure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on March 28?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 28?
21°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
$360,090 Объем
$360,090 Объем
Mar 28, 2026
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
$360,090 Объем
$360,090 Объем
Mar 28, 2026
21°C
$58,914 Объем
100%
22°C
$49,944 Объем
<1%
23°C
$40,455 Объем
<1%
24°C or higher
$36,426 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official surface observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations across Shanghai confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 21°C on March 28, locking in trader consensus at near-certainty for this outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with pre-day forecast model consensus from global sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local CMA guidance, which projected a daytime high of 21°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds capping warming. March climatology typically sees Shanghai highs around 13–15°C, but recent mild air masses from the south pushed this above average. Realistic challenges, such as a late-afternoon measurement revision from an outlier station or data correction, remain improbable given finalized reporting protocols; traders await any final CMA bulletin for absolute closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Объем
$360,090Дата окончания
Mar 28, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official surface observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations across Shanghai confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 21°C on March 28, locking in trader consensus at near-certainty for this outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with pre-day forecast model consensus from global sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local CMA guidance, which projected a daytime high of 21°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds capping warming. March climatology typically sees Shanghai highs around 13–15°C, but recent mild air masses from the south pushed this above average. Realistic challenges, such as a late-afternoon measurement revision from an outlier station or data correction, remain improbable given finalized reporting protocols; traders await any final CMA bulletin for absolute closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$360,090Дата окончания
Mar 28, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official surface observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations across Shanghai confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 21°C on March 28, locking in trader consensus at near-certainty for this outcome on Polymarket. This aligns with pre-day forecast model consensus from global sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local CMA guidance, which projected a daytime high of 21°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds capping warming. March climatology typically sees Shanghai highs around 13–15°C, but recent mild air masses from the south pushed this above average. Realistic challenges, such as a late-afternoon measurement revision from an outlier station or data correction, remain improbable given finalized reporting protocols; traders await any final CMA bulletin for absolute closure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы