Market icon

Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?

16°C or higher 24.7%

15°C 25%

14°C 17%

13°C 16%

Polymarket

$52,465 Объем

16°C or higher 24.7%

15°C 25%

14°C 17%

13°C 16%

Polymarket

$52,465 Объем

6°C or below

$19,817 Объем

1%

7°C

$3,208 Объем

<1%

8°C

$3,436 Объем

<1%

9°C

$4,572 Объем

1%

10°C

$3,707 Объем

3%

11°C

$2,923 Объем

9%

12°C

$2,305 Объем

14%

13°C

$2,877 Объем

16%

14°C

$1,889 Объем

17%

15°C

$2,727 Объем

25%

16°C or higher

$6,212 Объем

25%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Seoul-area forecasts for April 2, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 13–16°C due to divergent model guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). The latest KMA aviation forecast for resolution site Incheon International Airport projects a maximum of 13°C under clear skies and light northerly winds, favoring cooler outcomes amid potential cold air advection from a lingering upper trough. However, KMA's March 30 mid-term update suggested 16°C for nearby Seoul with mostly cloudy conditions, highlighting discrepancies in cloud cover and solar insolation projections across ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Early April climatology shows typical highs of 14–17°C, but frontal timing and boundary layer stability could swing results by 2–3°C; watch KMA's afternoon short-term update for refined guidance.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$52,465
Дата окончания
2 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Seoul-area forecasts for April 2, with implied probabilities tightly clustered around 13–16°C due to divergent model guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). The latest KMA aviation forecast for resolution site Incheon International Airport projects a maximum of 13°C under clear skies and light northerly winds, favoring cooler outcomes amid potential cold air advection from a lingering upper trough. However, KMA's March 30 mid-term update suggested 16°C for nearby Seoul with mostly cloudy conditions, highlighting discrepancies in cloud cover and solar insolation projections across ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Early April climatology shows typical highs of 14–17°C, but frontal timing and boundary layer stability could swing results by 2–3°C; watch KMA's afternoon short-term update for refined guidance.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$52,465
Дата окончания
2 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «15°C» с 25%, за ним следует «16°C or higher» с 25%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 25¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 25%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $52.5K с момента запуска рынка Mar 29, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?» — «15°C» с 25%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 25%. Следующий ближайший исход — «16°C or higher» с 25%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.