Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport—the market's resolving station—confirm a midday peak of 14.2°C under persistent mostly cloudy skies on April 1, driving trader consensus to overwhelming implied probability for 14°C as the daily maximum. Mild early-spring conditions, shaped by fading La Niña effects yielding ENSO-neutral patterns, feature limited solar insolation from overcast layers and incoming northwest winds cooling surface temperatures to 8°C by evening, per forecast model ensembles. No notable divergences in guidance from KMA short-range models support further warming. Realistic challenges include brief cloud breaks enabling 0.5–1°C solar-driven spikes before sunset, though strengthening winds and diurnal cooling make this improbable. Final hourly reports expected by midnight KST.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on April 1?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 1?
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
$381,359 Объем
$381,359 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
$381,359 Объем
$381,359 Объем
1 апр. 2026 г.
14°C
$43,076 Объем
100%
15°C
$32,595 Объем
<1%
16°C or higher
$54,632 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport—the market's resolving station—confirm a midday peak of 14.2°C under persistent mostly cloudy skies on April 1, driving trader consensus to overwhelming implied probability for 14°C as the daily maximum. Mild early-spring conditions, shaped by fading La Niña effects yielding ENSO-neutral patterns, feature limited solar insolation from overcast layers and incoming northwest winds cooling surface temperatures to 8°C by evening, per forecast model ensembles. No notable divergences in guidance from KMA short-range models support further warming. Realistic challenges include brief cloud breaks enabling 0.5–1°C solar-driven spikes before sunset, though strengthening winds and diurnal cooling make this improbable. Final hourly reports expected by midnight KST.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Объем
$381,359Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport—the market's resolving station—confirm a midday peak of 14.2°C under persistent mostly cloudy skies on April 1, driving trader consensus to overwhelming implied probability for 14°C as the daily maximum. Mild early-spring conditions, shaped by fading La Niña effects yielding ENSO-neutral patterns, feature limited solar insolation from overcast layers and incoming northwest winds cooling surface temperatures to 8°C by evening, per forecast model ensembles. No notable divergences in guidance from KMA short-range models support further warming. Realistic challenges include brief cloud breaks enabling 0.5–1°C solar-driven spikes before sunset, though strengthening winds and diurnal cooling make this improbable. Final hourly reports expected by midnight KST.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$381,359Дата окончания
1 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport—the market's resolving station—confirm a midday peak of 14.2°C under persistent mostly cloudy skies on April 1, driving trader consensus to overwhelming implied probability for 14°C as the daily maximum. Mild early-spring conditions, shaped by fading La Niña effects yielding ENSO-neutral patterns, feature limited solar insolation from overcast layers and incoming northwest winds cooling surface temperatures to 8°C by evening, per forecast model ensembles. No notable divergences in guidance from KMA short-range models support further warming. Realistic challenges include brief cloud breaks enabling 0.5–1°C solar-driven spikes before sunset, though strengthening winds and diurnal cooling make this improbable. Final hourly reports expected by midnight KST.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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