National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 52°F for Seattle on March 26 under sunny skies, driving trader consensus toward the 52-53°F outcome at 39% implied probability, as models like GFS and ECMWF converge on mid-50s peaks from daytime heating amid a building upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest. Recent cooling from persistent marine influence and Pacific storms has moderated temperatures, with averages for late March around 55°F but current anomalies favoring slightly cooler readings; clear conditions and light winds support subsidence warming without excessive cloud interference. Key uncertainties include microscale urban heat effects or unexpected marine layer persistence, with hourly observational data from Sea-Tac Airport set to refine probabilities as the date unfolds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сиэтле 26 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 26 марта?
52-53°F 39%
54-55°F 22%
50-51°F 16%
48-49°F 7%
$32,388 Объем
$32,388 Объем
43°F или ниже
<1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
7%
50-51°F
16%
52-53°F
39%
54-55°F
22%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62°F или выше
<1%
52-53°F 39%
54-55°F 22%
50-51°F 16%
48-49°F 7%
$32,388 Объем
$32,388 Объем
43°F или ниже
<1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
7%
50-51°F
16%
52-53°F
39%
54-55°F
22%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 52°F for Seattle on March 26 under sunny skies, driving trader consensus toward the 52-53°F outcome at 39% implied probability, as models like GFS and ECMWF converge on mid-50s peaks from daytime heating amid a building upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest. Recent cooling from persistent marine influence and Pacific storms has moderated temperatures, with averages for late March around 55°F but current anomalies favoring slightly cooler readings; clear conditions and light winds support subsidence warming without excessive cloud interference. Key uncertainties include microscale urban heat effects or unexpected marine layer persistence, with hourly observational data from Sea-Tac Airport set to refine probabilities as the date unfolds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы