Trader consensus on Polymarket gives 100% implied probability to a Seattle high temperature of 50-51°F on March 25, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a maximum near 51°F under sunny skies with breezy northwest winds of 10-20 mph suppressing warming. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF have converged on this range over the past 24 hours, reflecting persistent marine layer influence and cool upper-air patterns typical for late March in the Pacific Northwest, where historical daily highs average 54-56°F but current conditions favor below-normal temps following yesterday's 50°F reading. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks or stronger downslope effects off the Olympics, potentially nudging toward 52°F, though low-level wind shear limits upside; intraday observations from Seattle-Tacoma Airport (KSEA) will confirm resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 25?
50-51°F 100.0%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$106,103 Объем
$106,103 Объем
50-51°F
100%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58°F or higher
<1%
50-51°F 100.0%
52-53°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$106,103 Объем
$106,103 Объем
50-51°F
100%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives 100% implied probability to a Seattle high temperature of 50-51°F on March 25, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a maximum near 51°F under sunny skies with breezy northwest winds of 10-20 mph suppressing warming. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF have converged on this range over the past 24 hours, reflecting persistent marine layer influence and cool upper-air patterns typical for late March in the Pacific Northwest, where historical daily highs average 54-56°F but current conditions favor below-normal temps following yesterday's 50°F reading. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud breaks or stronger downslope effects off the Olympics, potentially nudging toward 52°F, though low-level wind shear limits upside; intraday observations from Seattle-Tacoma Airport (KSEA) will confirm resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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