Trader consensus clusters tightly around 64-69°F for San Francisco's March 25 high, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting peaks near 66°F amid a developing inland high-pressure ridge. This setup promises above-normal warmth—exceeding the 62°F March 25 climatological average—but persistent morning marine stratus and moderate onshore flow introduce uncertainty, differentiating outcomes: early fog burn-off could push 68-69°F (31% implied odds) via enhanced insolation, while prolonged coastal clouds favor 64-65°F (27%). Recent runs show 2-3°F spreads, with northerly winds potentially eroding the marine layer for upper bins, though verified airport observations at SFO will resolve precisely at midnight UTC.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on March 25?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 25?
64-65°F 33%
66-67°F 33%
68-69°F 31%
70°F or higher 12.4%
$16,440 Объем
$16,440 Объем
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
28%
68-69°F
31%
70°F or higher
8%
64-65°F 33%
66-67°F 33%
68-69°F 31%
70°F or higher 12.4%
$16,440 Объем
$16,440 Объем
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
28%
68-69°F
31%
70°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 64-69°F for San Francisco's March 25 high, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting peaks near 66°F amid a developing inland high-pressure ridge. This setup promises above-normal warmth—exceeding the 62°F March 25 climatological average—but persistent morning marine stratus and moderate onshore flow introduce uncertainty, differentiating outcomes: early fog burn-off could push 68-69°F (31% implied odds) via enhanced insolation, while prolonged coastal clouds favor 64-65°F (27%). Recent runs show 2-3°F spreads, with northerly winds potentially eroding the marine layer for upper bins, though verified airport observations at SFO will resolve precisely at midnight UTC.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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