Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11°C (71.5% implied probability) as Paris's highest temperature today, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering maxima around 11-12°C amid persistent thick cloud layers and scattered showers that suppress solar heating in a moist northwesterly flow. Météo-France guidance aligns, projecting limited daytime warming from morning lows near 3-5°C under overcast skies, consistent with March climatological averages of about 12°C but tempered by a dominant low-pressure system over western Europe. Over the past 24 hours, model runs have shown minimal spread or shifts, reinforcing this positioning, though intraday observations from Paris-Montsouris station could nudge outcomes toward 12°C if breaks in cloud cover emerge; hourly updates from official agencies remain key as the resolution window closes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Paris on March 28?
Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?
11°C 74%
12°C 26%
13°C 2.4%
15°C <1%
$97,601 Объем
$97,601 Объем
10°C
<1%
11°C
74%
12°C
26%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 74%
12°C 26%
13°C 2.4%
15°C <1%
$97,601 Объем
$97,601 Объем
10°C
<1%
11°C
74%
12°C
26%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11°C (71.5% implied probability) as Paris's highest temperature today, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering maxima around 11-12°C amid persistent thick cloud layers and scattered showers that suppress solar heating in a moist northwesterly flow. Météo-France guidance aligns, projecting limited daytime warming from morning lows near 3-5°C under overcast skies, consistent with March climatological averages of about 12°C but tempered by a dominant low-pressure system over western Europe. Over the past 24 hours, model runs have shown minimal spread or shifts, reinforcing this positioning, though intraday observations from Paris-Montsouris station could nudge outcomes toward 12°C if breaks in cloud cover emerge; hourly updates from official agencies remain key as the resolution window closes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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