Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 48-49°F in New York City on March 24, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on daytime highs in the upper 40s amid persistent cool northerly flows and cloudy skies. Verified observations from Central Park's official station show seasonal normals around 50°F, but current upper-air patterns—featuring a deep trough over the Northeast—support this subdued outlook, with minimal solar insolation due to overcast conditions. Realistic challenges include a sudden shift in the jet stream allowing southerly winds or model overestimation of cloud cover, potentially pushing temperatures into the low 50s, though historical March variability suggests low probability of exceeding 56°F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 24 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 24 марта?
48-49°F 100.0%
37°F или ниже <1%
38–39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$145,927 Объем
$145,927 Объем
37°F или ниже
Нет
38–39°F
Нет
40-41°F
Нет
42–43°F
Нет
44-45°F
Нет
46-47°F
Нет
48-49°F
Да
50-51°F
Нет
52-53°F
Нет
54-55°F
Нет
56°F или выше
Нет
48-49°F 100.0%
37°F или ниже <1%
38–39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$145,927 Объем
$145,927 Объем
37°F или ниже
Нет
38–39°F
Нет
40-41°F
Нет
42–43°F
Нет
44-45°F
Нет
46-47°F
Нет
48-49°F
Да
50-51°F
Нет
52-53°F
Нет
54-55°F
Нет
56°F или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 48-49°F in New York City on March 24, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF, which converge on daytime highs in the upper 40s amid persistent cool northerly flows and cloudy skies. Verified observations from Central Park's official station show seasonal normals around 50°F, but current upper-air patterns—featuring a deep trough over the Northeast—support this subdued outlook, with minimal solar insolation due to overcast conditions. Realistic challenges include a sudden shift in the jet stream allowing southerly winds or model overestimation of cloud cover, potentially pushing temperatures into the low 50s, though historical March variability suggests low probability of exceeding 56°F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы